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Rationality
A TIMES BOOK OF THE YEAR 2021
In Rationality, Pinker rejects the cynical cliché that humans are simply an irrational species - cavemen out of time fatally cursed with biases, fallacies and illusions. After all, we discovered the laws of nature, lengthened and enriched our lives and set the benchmarks for rationality itself. Instead, he explains, we think in ways that suit the low-tech contexts in which we spend most of our lives, but fail to take advantage of the powerful tools of reasoning we have built up over millennia: logic, critical thinking, probability, causal inference, and decision-making under uncertainty. These tools are not a standard part of our educational curricula, and have never been presented clearly and entertainingly in a single book - until now.
Rationality matters. It leads to better choices in our lives and in the public sphere, and is the ultimate driver of social justice and moral progress. Brimming with insight and humour, Rationality will enlighten, inspire and empower.
'A terrific book, much-needed for our time' Peter Singer
In Rationality, Pinker rejects the cynical cliché that humans are simply an irrational species - cavemen out of time fatally cursed with biases, fallacies and illusions. After all, we discovered the laws of nature, lengthened and enriched our lives and set the benchmarks for rationality itself. Instead, he explains, we think in ways that suit the low-tech contexts in which we spend most of our lives, but fail to take advantage of the powerful tools of reasoning we have built up over millennia: logic, critical thinking, probability, causal inference, and decision-making under uncertainty. These tools are not a standard part of our educational curricula, and have never been presented clearly and entertainingly in a single book - until now.
Rationality matters. It leads to better choices in our lives and in the public sphere, and is the ultimate driver of social justice and moral progress. Brimming with insight and humour, Rationality will enlighten, inspire and empower.
'A terrific book, much-needed for our time' Peter Singer
432 pages, Hardcover
First published September 28, 2021
About the author
Steven Pinker
67 books10.2k followersSteven Arthur Pinker is a prominent Canadian-American experimental psychologist, cognitive scientist, and author of popular science. Pinker is known for his wide-ranging explorations of human nature and its relevance to language, history, morality, politics, and everyday life. He conducts research on language and cognition, writes for publications such as the New York Times, Time, and The New Republic, and is the author of numerous books, including The Language Instinct, How the Mind Works, Words and Rules, The Blank Slate, The Stuff of Thought, The Better Angels of Our Nature, The Sense of Style, and most recently, Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress.
He was born in Canada and graduated from Montreal's Dawson College in 1973. He received a bachelor's degree in experimental psychology from McGill University in 1976, and then went on to earn his doctorate in the same discipline at Harvard in 1979. He did research at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) for a year, then became an assistant professor at Harvard and then Stanford University. From 1982 until 2003, Pinker taught at the Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences at MIT, and eventually became the director of the Center for Cognitive Neuroscience. (Except for a one-year sabbatical at the University of California, Santa Barbara in 1995-6.) As of 2008, he is the Johnstone Family Professor of Psychology at Harvard.
Pinker was named one of Time Magazine's 100 most influential people in the world in 2004 and one of Prospect and Foreign Policy's 100 top public intellectuals in 2005. He has also received honorary doctorates from the universities of Newcastle, Surrey, Tel Aviv, McGill, and the University of Tromsø, Norway. He was twice a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize, in 1998 and in 2003. In January 2005, Pinker defended Lawrence Summers, President of Harvard University, whose comments about the gender gap in mathematics and science angered much of the faculty. On May 13th 2006, Pinker received the American Humanist Association's Humanist of the Year award for his contributions to public understanding of human evolution.
In 2007, he was invited on The Colbert Report and asked under pressure to sum up how the brain works in five words – Pinker answered "Brain cells fire in patterns."
Pinker was born into the English-speaking Jewish community of Montreal. He has said, "I was never religious in the theological sense... I never outgrew my conversion to atheism at 13, but at various times was a serious cultural Jew." As a teenager, he says he considered himself an anarchist until he witnessed civil unrest following a police strike in 1969. His father, a trained lawyer, first worked as a traveling salesman, while his mother was first a home-maker then a guidance counselor and high-school vice-principal. He has two younger siblings. His brother is a policy analyst for the Canadian government. His sister, Susan Pinker, is a columnist for the Wall Street Journal and the author of The Sexual Paradox and The Village Effect.
Pinker married Nancy Etcoff in 1980 and they divorced 1992; he married Ilavenil Subbiah in 1995 and they too divorced. He is married to the novelist and philosopher Rebecca Goldstein, the author of 10 books and winner of the National Medal of the Humanities. He has no children.
His next book will take off from his research on "common knowledge" (knowing that everyone knows something). Its tentative title is: Don't Go There: Common Knowledge and the Science of Civility, Hypocrisy, Outrage, and Taboo.
He was born in Canada and graduated from Montreal's Dawson College in 1973. He received a bachelor's degree in experimental psychology from McGill University in 1976, and then went on to earn his doctorate in the same discipline at Harvard in 1979. He did research at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) for a year, then became an assistant professor at Harvard and then Stanford University. From 1982 until 2003, Pinker taught at the Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences at MIT, and eventually became the director of the Center for Cognitive Neuroscience. (Except for a one-year sabbatical at the University of California, Santa Barbara in 1995-6.) As of 2008, he is the Johnstone Family Professor of Psychology at Harvard.
Pinker was named one of Time Magazine's 100 most influential people in the world in 2004 and one of Prospect and Foreign Policy's 100 top public intellectuals in 2005. He has also received honorary doctorates from the universities of Newcastle, Surrey, Tel Aviv, McGill, and the University of Tromsø, Norway. He was twice a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize, in 1998 and in 2003. In January 2005, Pinker defended Lawrence Summers, President of Harvard University, whose comments about the gender gap in mathematics and science angered much of the faculty. On May 13th 2006, Pinker received the American Humanist Association's Humanist of the Year award for his contributions to public understanding of human evolution.
In 2007, he was invited on The Colbert Report and asked under pressure to sum up how the brain works in five words – Pinker answered "Brain cells fire in patterns."
Pinker was born into the English-speaking Jewish community of Montreal. He has said, "I was never religious in the theological sense... I never outgrew my conversion to atheism at 13, but at various times was a serious cultural Jew." As a teenager, he says he considered himself an anarchist until he witnessed civil unrest following a police strike in 1969. His father, a trained lawyer, first worked as a traveling salesman, while his mother was first a home-maker then a guidance counselor and high-school vice-principal. He has two younger siblings. His brother is a policy analyst for the Canadian government. His sister, Susan Pinker, is a columnist for the Wall Street Journal and the author of The Sexual Paradox and The Village Effect.
Pinker married Nancy Etcoff in 1980 and they divorced 1992; he married Ilavenil Subbiah in 1995 and they too divorced. He is married to the novelist and philosopher Rebecca Goldstein, the author of 10 books and winner of the National Medal of the Humanities. He has no children.
His next book will take off from his research on "common knowledge" (knowing that everyone knows something). Its tentative title is: Don't Go There: Common Knowledge and the Science of Civility, Hypocrisy, Outrage, and Taboo.
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June 22, 2024
I'd like to think I'm a rational being, but I also know that I'm prone to sporadic fits of irrationality, just like everyone else out there. So I when I came across this book, I knew I had to read it. I was hoping it would give me insight into myself, and also help me understand why it seems like a large portion of our population have lately given in to the irrational devils of our nature.
And this book did offer insight. In particular, the first and second to last chapters were riveting, approaching the discussion from psychological and sociological perspectives. The examples on how people end up making less than optimal choices are intriguing, and this book offers the most intuitive explanation of the Monty Hall problem I've ever come across. And the concluding discussion on personal knowledge being divided into two different zones, real and mythological, is absolutely fascinating as well as illuminating.
But that isn't the majority of this book. Rather, the focus of this book is how to use probability and statistics to understand numerical implications of different choices, including how to calculate their actual probabilities. I have nothing against the topics, but that isn't what I thought I signed up to read when I opened this book.
Because the topics covered are so technical, the majority of this book reads like a textbook. It doesn't help that they are often presented in a heavily pedantic style, with lots of terms and formulas, as well as philosophical musings. In fact, there is enough content in here to cover multiple university classes (I know because I had the joy of taking these exact ones back in college), so you can imagine trying to fit them into 300 pages makes the whole thing dense and dry.
When a book is so technical, it gets into a bit of a dilemma with its target audience. If you already know most of the topics covered, then you should have no trouble following along, but in that case, why are you reading this book? On the other hand, if you haven't seen the topics before and this is your first introduction, I think you'll have a lot of trouble understanding and retaining the information, especially as the later chapters build on concepts from the earlier ones.
Don't get me wrong, this is an interesting book, but I think it requires the reader to go in with the right expectations. The misleading title will have you think it's a psychological deep dive into rationality, but it isn't that. This is really a book on probability and statistics, and how to use them to make sense of our world. With that mindset, this book could offer a lot to the right audience.
~~~~~~~~~~~~
✧ Connect with me ✧ Instagram ✧
And this book did offer insight. In particular, the first and second to last chapters were riveting, approaching the discussion from psychological and sociological perspectives. The examples on how people end up making less than optimal choices are intriguing, and this book offers the most intuitive explanation of the Monty Hall problem I've ever come across. And the concluding discussion on personal knowledge being divided into two different zones, real and mythological, is absolutely fascinating as well as illuminating.
But that isn't the majority of this book. Rather, the focus of this book is how to use probability and statistics to understand numerical implications of different choices, including how to calculate their actual probabilities. I have nothing against the topics, but that isn't what I thought I signed up to read when I opened this book.
Because the topics covered are so technical, the majority of this book reads like a textbook. It doesn't help that they are often presented in a heavily pedantic style, with lots of terms and formulas, as well as philosophical musings. In fact, there is enough content in here to cover multiple university classes (I know because I had the joy of taking these exact ones back in college), so you can imagine trying to fit them into 300 pages makes the whole thing dense and dry.
When a book is so technical, it gets into a bit of a dilemma with its target audience. If you already know most of the topics covered, then you should have no trouble following along, but in that case, why are you reading this book? On the other hand, if you haven't seen the topics before and this is your first introduction, I think you'll have a lot of trouble understanding and retaining the information, especially as the later chapters build on concepts from the earlier ones.
Don't get me wrong, this is an interesting book, but I think it requires the reader to go in with the right expectations. The misleading title will have you think it's a psychological deep dive into rationality, but it isn't that. This is really a book on probability and statistics, and how to use them to make sense of our world. With that mindset, this book could offer a lot to the right audience.
~~~~~~~~~~~~
✧ Connect with me ✧ Instagram ✧
December 6, 2021
More Faerie Tales From Mary Poppins
“What is a man,
If his chief good and market of his time
Be but to sleep and feed? A beast, no more.
Sure he that made us with such large discourse,
Looking before and after, gave us not
That capability and godlike reason
To fust in us unus’d.
—Hamlet”
This epigraph from Shakespeare, which Pinker uses to preface his latest book, summarises his fundamental misunderstanding of the issue he addresses. For Pinker, Shakespeare seems to be saying ‘if you got it flaunt it.’ ‘It’ being “such large discourse,” that is to say, language, which is indeed “godlike” and itself amounts to “reason.” Indeed we are a species able, no compelled, to use language in order to survive. The luxuries of sleeping and eating depend upon our effective use of it. However Shakespeare’s irony as a writer forced to make his way in life through language is obvious. But not to Pinker. Rationality is not scarce; it exists in an over-abundance. It may yet kill us all if we keep treating it as the divine solution to our ills.
Let me start by agreeing with Pinker: no human being is irrational, not even the most psychotic or criminal mind is without rationality. We all have what to us are good reasons for doing whatever we do. Or we are at least capable of formulating such reasons after the fact with conviction and assurance. The fact that others may not accept either our premises or our deductions does not make us irrational; it makes us wrong.
But Pinker doesn’t follow his own logic. This makes him contradictory, a good sign that what he’s peddling should be wrong for all of us. He thinks that he knows what he calls “the benchmarks of rationality” that should be the goal of education and the standards by which we judge what we hear and read, and presumably what we say and write. The benchmarks he has in mind are largely statistical and don’t address the core issue of rationality at all.
Whenever anyone starts an argument with ‘there are only two options to consider,’ be on the lookout for the garden path to reasoned stupidity. Pinker’s dichotomy of choice is that there are, “two modes of believing: the reality mindset and the mythology mindset.” No prizes for guessing which one Pinker is going to promote. But what he actually does is subtly shift the subject with this linguistic tactic from rationality to reality. And since reality must be superior to myth, it will define the rational.
The problem of course is that Pinker has no idea what he means by reality. Or, better said, the ambiguity of reality is just what he needs in order to hide his contradictions - from himself as well as his readers. Without the touchstone of reality his subsequent argument is vacuous. What he is actually appealing to is some quasi-religious need in himself for stability or fixedness in how the uncontrollable beast of Language can be tamed, or at least contained within safe boundaries. He makes this need clear and wants us all to share in his anxiety: “In an era in which rationality seems both more threatened and more essential than ever, Rationality is, above all, an affirmation of rationality.”
Indeed, just as faith is an affirmation of faith. Pinker wants us to restore our faith in language and its ability to track with this thing called reality. Some words, he wants us to know, are closer to reality than other words. These latter are the words we should use to judge other words. How do we spot such words? Here is another proposition with which I agree wholeheartedly: “… none of us, thinking alone, is rational enough to consistently come to sound conclusions: rationality emerges from a community of reasoners who spot each other’s fallacies.”
So there is the central contradiction which Pinker tries to navigate around throughout his argument. Reality, he contends, is outside of language and defines rationality. But no, he also contends, rationality is what other language users determine to be rational. One has to ask of course: who are these other language users? What makes their opinions privileged? How are disagreement between groups to be resolved? In short, which group is to be considered dominant in the matter of language accuracy?
Pinker knows that what constitutes rationality depends on the circumstances. For him rationality is “… a kit of cognitive tools that can attain particular goals in particular worlds.” Yet another point on which we agree. The bushmen of the Kalahari employ a rationality that would not assist survival on the streets of Manhattan. What we take for scientific method and logic today is not what was accepted a century ago, nor will it be that which is accepted a century hence. The evolution of rationality itself is a fact that Pinker doesn’t deny. And yet he insists there is such a thing that is established in an unchanging Platonic realm of ideas.
Pinker makes a distinction between “the rational pursuit of goals… [and] an objective understanding of the world.” In this he engages in yet another self-contradiction. What he means by ‘objective’ apparently is the result of investigation by a totally disinterested observer. But if such an observer has no interest in a situation or condition, what prompted him or her to investigate in the first place? It is a basic principle of science that no effort is made without a reason, a question, a puzzle, a doubt. To engage in such an effort would be not just unreasonable but impossible. Yet Pinker thinks there is such a person, probably nesting comfortably among the other Platonic figures in a philosophical heaven of stability and without language.
Pinker spends a great deal of time on cute logical paradoxes. These are largely irrelevant to the core problem of rationality, which is the reasons for doing things not the errors we might make in acting on those reasons. Our choice of reasons, even if the reasons are only articulated after our actions in order to literally rationalise them, is an event that by definition cannot be reasonable. But that choice is what then determines the constitution of that which we casually call a fact. Once again: there are no objective facts; such things are self-contradictory. The only real issue of rationality is reasons.
For example: The expressed reason for the Holocaust was the need to rid the world of a harmful ideology of mutual responsibility that was invented and preserved by Jews. The official reason for the European invasion of the Americas was the promulgation of the true faith necessary for salvation. The reason for the existence of the CIA is the protection of American interests abroad at any political or cost to the rest of the world. Hegel demonstrated the rationality of these reasons dialectically; just as Kant with utmost rationality put paid to the idea that facts could undermine the reasons we promote.
Pinker has absolutely nothing to say about these sorts of reasons, except that they might be rejected if they had been discussed and debated openly. And perhaps not even then since it depends on who is doing the discussing. The matter is entirely political. Like it or not, morality, like facts, is a political matter. Pinker’s call for critical thinking is nothing more than a suggestion towards scepticism about established mores and rationality. So once again he contradicts himself. The crowd can be wrong after all. They may have missed a fallacy but they’re sticking with it. For them no fallacy exists; they just started with different reasons.
The bottom line is that while there are words that are better than other words for getting on in the world, we don’t know what they are from moment to moment. The words we use today may prove to be the cause of tomorrow’s destruction; but we have no way of assessing this either. Pinker is right to suggest that all we have is each other in the search for the right words. But we have no idea how to organise that search much less know when it is successful. We are at the mercy of this thing we presume to control - language. And Pinker, as he does in everything he writes, refuses to get that this is our predicament. What he provides is not Shakespearean insight but a diverting musical comedy. A gentle Mary Poppins, perhaps, come down from above to assure us children that the universe is benign and that Trump is a temporary aberration. How comforting.☂️
Postscript 30/09/21: for more on the same topic, see: https://www.goodreads.com/review/show...
Postscript 23/10/21: An example of the very irrational state of scientific rationality: https://apple.news/AA27bMZ17QuCqAo51e...
“What is a man,
If his chief good and market of his time
Be but to sleep and feed? A beast, no more.
Sure he that made us with such large discourse,
Looking before and after, gave us not
That capability and godlike reason
To fust in us unus’d.
—Hamlet”
This epigraph from Shakespeare, which Pinker uses to preface his latest book, summarises his fundamental misunderstanding of the issue he addresses. For Pinker, Shakespeare seems to be saying ‘if you got it flaunt it.’ ‘It’ being “such large discourse,” that is to say, language, which is indeed “godlike” and itself amounts to “reason.” Indeed we are a species able, no compelled, to use language in order to survive. The luxuries of sleeping and eating depend upon our effective use of it. However Shakespeare’s irony as a writer forced to make his way in life through language is obvious. But not to Pinker. Rationality is not scarce; it exists in an over-abundance. It may yet kill us all if we keep treating it as the divine solution to our ills.
Let me start by agreeing with Pinker: no human being is irrational, not even the most psychotic or criminal mind is without rationality. We all have what to us are good reasons for doing whatever we do. Or we are at least capable of formulating such reasons after the fact with conviction and assurance. The fact that others may not accept either our premises or our deductions does not make us irrational; it makes us wrong.
But Pinker doesn’t follow his own logic. This makes him contradictory, a good sign that what he’s peddling should be wrong for all of us. He thinks that he knows what he calls “the benchmarks of rationality” that should be the goal of education and the standards by which we judge what we hear and read, and presumably what we say and write. The benchmarks he has in mind are largely statistical and don’t address the core issue of rationality at all.
Whenever anyone starts an argument with ‘there are only two options to consider,’ be on the lookout for the garden path to reasoned stupidity. Pinker’s dichotomy of choice is that there are, “two modes of believing: the reality mindset and the mythology mindset.” No prizes for guessing which one Pinker is going to promote. But what he actually does is subtly shift the subject with this linguistic tactic from rationality to reality. And since reality must be superior to myth, it will define the rational.
The problem of course is that Pinker has no idea what he means by reality. Or, better said, the ambiguity of reality is just what he needs in order to hide his contradictions - from himself as well as his readers. Without the touchstone of reality his subsequent argument is vacuous. What he is actually appealing to is some quasi-religious need in himself for stability or fixedness in how the uncontrollable beast of Language can be tamed, or at least contained within safe boundaries. He makes this need clear and wants us all to share in his anxiety: “In an era in which rationality seems both more threatened and more essential than ever, Rationality is, above all, an affirmation of rationality.”
Indeed, just as faith is an affirmation of faith. Pinker wants us to restore our faith in language and its ability to track with this thing called reality. Some words, he wants us to know, are closer to reality than other words. These latter are the words we should use to judge other words. How do we spot such words? Here is another proposition with which I agree wholeheartedly: “… none of us, thinking alone, is rational enough to consistently come to sound conclusions: rationality emerges from a community of reasoners who spot each other’s fallacies.”
So there is the central contradiction which Pinker tries to navigate around throughout his argument. Reality, he contends, is outside of language and defines rationality. But no, he also contends, rationality is what other language users determine to be rational. One has to ask of course: who are these other language users? What makes their opinions privileged? How are disagreement between groups to be resolved? In short, which group is to be considered dominant in the matter of language accuracy?
Pinker knows that what constitutes rationality depends on the circumstances. For him rationality is “… a kit of cognitive tools that can attain particular goals in particular worlds.” Yet another point on which we agree. The bushmen of the Kalahari employ a rationality that would not assist survival on the streets of Manhattan. What we take for scientific method and logic today is not what was accepted a century ago, nor will it be that which is accepted a century hence. The evolution of rationality itself is a fact that Pinker doesn’t deny. And yet he insists there is such a thing that is established in an unchanging Platonic realm of ideas.
Pinker makes a distinction between “the rational pursuit of goals… [and] an objective understanding of the world.” In this he engages in yet another self-contradiction. What he means by ‘objective’ apparently is the result of investigation by a totally disinterested observer. But if such an observer has no interest in a situation or condition, what prompted him or her to investigate in the first place? It is a basic principle of science that no effort is made without a reason, a question, a puzzle, a doubt. To engage in such an effort would be not just unreasonable but impossible. Yet Pinker thinks there is such a person, probably nesting comfortably among the other Platonic figures in a philosophical heaven of stability and without language.
Pinker spends a great deal of time on cute logical paradoxes. These are largely irrelevant to the core problem of rationality, which is the reasons for doing things not the errors we might make in acting on those reasons. Our choice of reasons, even if the reasons are only articulated after our actions in order to literally rationalise them, is an event that by definition cannot be reasonable. But that choice is what then determines the constitution of that which we casually call a fact. Once again: there are no objective facts; such things are self-contradictory. The only real issue of rationality is reasons.
For example: The expressed reason for the Holocaust was the need to rid the world of a harmful ideology of mutual responsibility that was invented and preserved by Jews. The official reason for the European invasion of the Americas was the promulgation of the true faith necessary for salvation. The reason for the existence of the CIA is the protection of American interests abroad at any political or cost to the rest of the world. Hegel demonstrated the rationality of these reasons dialectically; just as Kant with utmost rationality put paid to the idea that facts could undermine the reasons we promote.
Pinker has absolutely nothing to say about these sorts of reasons, except that they might be rejected if they had been discussed and debated openly. And perhaps not even then since it depends on who is doing the discussing. The matter is entirely political. Like it or not, morality, like facts, is a political matter. Pinker’s call for critical thinking is nothing more than a suggestion towards scepticism about established mores and rationality. So once again he contradicts himself. The crowd can be wrong after all. They may have missed a fallacy but they’re sticking with it. For them no fallacy exists; they just started with different reasons.
The bottom line is that while there are words that are better than other words for getting on in the world, we don’t know what they are from moment to moment. The words we use today may prove to be the cause of tomorrow’s destruction; but we have no way of assessing this either. Pinker is right to suggest that all we have is each other in the search for the right words. But we have no idea how to organise that search much less know when it is successful. We are at the mercy of this thing we presume to control - language. And Pinker, as he does in everything he writes, refuses to get that this is our predicament. What he provides is not Shakespearean insight but a diverting musical comedy. A gentle Mary Poppins, perhaps, come down from above to assure us children that the universe is benign and that Trump is a temporary aberration. How comforting.☂️
Postscript 30/09/21: for more on the same topic, see: https://www.goodreads.com/review/show...
Postscript 23/10/21: An example of the very irrational state of scientific rationality: https://apple.news/AA27bMZ17QuCqAo51e...
October 3, 2021
This book starts out with a review and discussion of logic, probability, and randomness. Proceeding from that foundation it explores ways in which people can be predictably led astray by following their intuition. The book then continues with a discussion of game theory and behavioral economics. Toward the end the book addresses the issues promised by the book’s subtitle; why rationality seems so scarce and why it’s important.
The book suggests that one reason humans are so poor at estimating exponential growth is because it wasn’t part of the natural environment during human evolution (i.e. in nature exponential growth is capped by limited resourses). Mention of exponential growth attracts my attention because economist seem to believe that it's possible to go on forever.
Concepts explored in the heart of the book includes beliefs/evidence, risk/reward, and alarm/response. One reason economics is such an inexact science is because people can’t be counted on to make rational choices. There seems to be no end to ways in which human nature seems to lead us astray. Sometimes it’s a matter of what comes to mind first, so that’s the event guessed to be most likely to occur. Other times we forget how common—or uncommon—an event is when confronted with a clue pointing in a certain direction which then leads to incorrect guesses at probabilities.
Pinker provides a long discussion about the scarcity of rationality and why it matters, but I found the explanation given by The Enigma of Reason by Mercier and Sperber to be more succinct and convincing. Pinker acknowledges their work, but continues to explore other explanations.
Pinker insists that humans can always learn, and if you look close everyone possesses the powers of reason. After all, they have enough rationality to keep food on the table.
Below is an excerpt that is an example of “base-rate neglect” which involves giving too little weight to the original probability of an event in the face of new information. This excerpt also shows how wording of the problems can make a difference in recognition of the solution. I guess one reason I've included it here is because I didn't get the correct answer in the first instance.
The book suggests that one reason humans are so poor at estimating exponential growth is because it wasn’t part of the natural environment during human evolution (i.e. in nature exponential growth is capped by limited resourses). Mention of exponential growth attracts my attention because economist seem to believe that it's possible to go on forever.
Concepts explored in the heart of the book includes beliefs/evidence, risk/reward, and alarm/response. One reason economics is such an inexact science is because people can’t be counted on to make rational choices. There seems to be no end to ways in which human nature seems to lead us astray. Sometimes it’s a matter of what comes to mind first, so that’s the event guessed to be most likely to occur. Other times we forget how common—or uncommon—an event is when confronted with a clue pointing in a certain direction which then leads to incorrect guesses at probabilities.
Pinker provides a long discussion about the scarcity of rationality and why it matters, but I found the explanation given by The Enigma of Reason by Mercier and Sperber to be more succinct and convincing. Pinker acknowledges their work, but continues to explore other explanations.
Pinker insists that humans can always learn, and if you look close everyone possesses the powers of reason. After all, they have enough rationality to keep food on the table.
Below is an excerpt that is an example of “base-rate neglect” which involves giving too little weight to the original probability of an event in the face of new information. This excerpt also shows how wording of the problems can make a difference in recognition of the solution. I guess one reason I've included it here is because I didn't get the correct answer in the first instance.
Suppose that the prevalence of breast cancer in the population of women is 1 percent. Suppose that the sensitivity of a breast cancer test (its true-positive rate) is 90 percent. Suppose that its false-positive rate is 9 percent. A woman tests positive. What is the chance that she has the disease?If this same question is worded differently it becomes easier to intuitively arrive at the correct answer.
The most popular answer from a sample of doctors given these numbers ranged from 80 to 90 percent. Bayes's rule allows you to calculate the correct answer: 9 percent. That's right, the professionals whom we entrust with our live flub the basic task of interpreting a medical test, and not by a little bit. They think there's almost a 90 percent chance she has cancer, whereas in reality there's a 90 percent chance she doesn't. (p150)
Forget the generic "a woman"; think about a sample of a thousand women. Out of every 1,000 women, 10 have breast cancer (that's the prevalence, or base rate). Of these 10 women who have breast cancer, 9 will test positive (that's the test's sensitivity). Of the 990 women without breast cancer, about 89 will nevertheless test positive (that's the false-positive rate). A woman tests positive. What is the chance that she actually has breast cancer?" It's not that hard: 98 of the women test positive in all, 9 of them have cancer; 9 divided by 98 is around 9 percent—there's our answer. When the problem is framed in this way, 87 percent of doctors get it right (compared with about 15 percent for the original wording), as do a majority of 10-year-olds. (p169)So what's the lesson here? Is it important that people be able to answer questions like this correctly?
By tapping preexisting intuitions and translating information into mind-friendly formats, it's possible to hone people's statistical reasoning. Hone we must. Risk literacy is essential for doctors, judges, policymakers, and others who hold our lives in their hands. And since we all live in a world in which God plays dice, fluency in Bayesian reasoning and other forms of statistical competence is a public good that should be a priority in education. The principles of cognitive psychology suggest that it's better to work with the rationality people have and enhance it further than to write off the majority of our species as chronically crippled by fallacies and biases. (p171)Here's a quote that verifies my own observation of today's political divide.
We are not...living in a "post truth" society. The problem is that we are living in a myside society. The sides are the left and the right, and both sides believe in the truth but have incommen-surable ideas of what the truth is. The bias has invaded more and more of our deliberations. The spectacle of face masks during a respiratory pandemic turning into political symbols is just the most recent symptom of the polarization. (p295-p296)
September 30, 2021
Rationality can be defined as “the ability to use knowledge to attain goals.” You don’t get credit for rationality if you attain a goal simply by chance; rather, your beliefs must be true, rather than false, and justified, rather than random. Whether the goal is theoretical (proving the truth of an idea) or practical (achieving some tangible outcome), to be rational simply means using knowledge (justified true belief) to attain the stated goal.
Reason also has the unique characteristic of being non-negotiable, in that if you argue against its use—by employing reasons—you’ve already lost the argument. Since reason is non-negotiable and necessary for any intelligent and socially beneficial behavior, we all ought to take the time to learn how to use it better, especially since we did not evolve to handle the types of abstract mathematical, logical, and statistical problems we face in the modern world. We have to explicitly learn how to solve these higher-order problems; the skills to do so unequivocally do not come naturally.
The problem is, most books on rationality or critical thinking narrowly focus on biases and fallacies and simply list all the ways humans make stupid decisions. But as Pinker points out, humanity’s greatest achievements (discovering the age of the universe, mapping the human genome, etc.) cannot be explained by noting all the ways in which we confuse ourselves. There’s a better way to learn the rules of rationality; namely, by covering the wider variety of cognitive tools we’ve developed over the millennia to enhance our natural rational powers.
Pinker covers critical thinking and logic, statistics and probability, Bayesian reasoning, risk and reward, game theory, and more, collecting in one volume the diverse range of cognitive tools we’ve developed over the course of our history to think better. And unlike other bad faith actors who pretend that being “rational” guarantees the truth of their beliefs, Pinker (as a cognitive psychologist) actually understands the subject matter well enough to note the nuances, exceptions, and complexities that make rationality an inexact science. This excerpt from the book is worth quoting in full:
“Now, arguments for truth, objectivity, and reason may stick in the craw, because they seem dangerously arrogant: ‘Who the hell are you to claim to have the absolute truth?’ But that’s not what the case for rationality is about. The psychologist David Myers has said that the essence of monotheistic belief is: (1) There is a God and (2) it’s not me (and it’s also not you). The secular equivalent is: (1) There is objective truth and (2) I don’t know it (and neither do you). The same epistemic humility applies to the rationality that leads to the truth. Perfect rationality and objective truth are aspirations that no mortal can ever claim to have attained. But the conviction that they are out there licenses us to develop rules we can all abide by that allow us to approach the truth collectively in ways that are impossible for any of us individually.”
The rules of rationality—critical thinking, logic, probability, empirical reasoning—are employed to circumvent our biases, avoid common fallacies, and get ever closer to the elusive objective truth (without ever getting there for certain). Pinker adeptly reviews these tools, comments on real-world examples of fallacious thinking, and even presents new research and thinking that shows that some commonly perceived fallacies are not actually fallacies at all (e.g., the “hot hand” fallacy in basketball). The reader will have to be patient in some sections as the material is not always easy to follow, but the payoff (better critical thinking skills) will be well worth the effort.
Of course, learning the rules of rationality is not necessarily sufficient. There’s a strong case to be made for the idea that we evolved, not to be rational and to engage in the disinterested pursuit of truth, but to use reason to simply win arguments in favor of our preferred beliefs. Because of the uncertainty of knowledge, it’s all too easy to use motivated reasoning to “confirm” beliefs we wish to be true and to ignore all contradictory evidence. For this reason, intellectual integrity and humility are far harder to teach than even the rules of rationality itself. But if you do have them, you’ll benefit greatly from this book.
Reason also has the unique characteristic of being non-negotiable, in that if you argue against its use—by employing reasons—you’ve already lost the argument. Since reason is non-negotiable and necessary for any intelligent and socially beneficial behavior, we all ought to take the time to learn how to use it better, especially since we did not evolve to handle the types of abstract mathematical, logical, and statistical problems we face in the modern world. We have to explicitly learn how to solve these higher-order problems; the skills to do so unequivocally do not come naturally.
The problem is, most books on rationality or critical thinking narrowly focus on biases and fallacies and simply list all the ways humans make stupid decisions. But as Pinker points out, humanity’s greatest achievements (discovering the age of the universe, mapping the human genome, etc.) cannot be explained by noting all the ways in which we confuse ourselves. There’s a better way to learn the rules of rationality; namely, by covering the wider variety of cognitive tools we’ve developed over the millennia to enhance our natural rational powers.
Pinker covers critical thinking and logic, statistics and probability, Bayesian reasoning, risk and reward, game theory, and more, collecting in one volume the diverse range of cognitive tools we’ve developed over the course of our history to think better. And unlike other bad faith actors who pretend that being “rational” guarantees the truth of their beliefs, Pinker (as a cognitive psychologist) actually understands the subject matter well enough to note the nuances, exceptions, and complexities that make rationality an inexact science. This excerpt from the book is worth quoting in full:
“Now, arguments for truth, objectivity, and reason may stick in the craw, because they seem dangerously arrogant: ‘Who the hell are you to claim to have the absolute truth?’ But that’s not what the case for rationality is about. The psychologist David Myers has said that the essence of monotheistic belief is: (1) There is a God and (2) it’s not me (and it’s also not you). The secular equivalent is: (1) There is objective truth and (2) I don’t know it (and neither do you). The same epistemic humility applies to the rationality that leads to the truth. Perfect rationality and objective truth are aspirations that no mortal can ever claim to have attained. But the conviction that they are out there licenses us to develop rules we can all abide by that allow us to approach the truth collectively in ways that are impossible for any of us individually.”
The rules of rationality—critical thinking, logic, probability, empirical reasoning—are employed to circumvent our biases, avoid common fallacies, and get ever closer to the elusive objective truth (without ever getting there for certain). Pinker adeptly reviews these tools, comments on real-world examples of fallacious thinking, and even presents new research and thinking that shows that some commonly perceived fallacies are not actually fallacies at all (e.g., the “hot hand” fallacy in basketball). The reader will have to be patient in some sections as the material is not always easy to follow, but the payoff (better critical thinking skills) will be well worth the effort.
Of course, learning the rules of rationality is not necessarily sufficient. There’s a strong case to be made for the idea that we evolved, not to be rational and to engage in the disinterested pursuit of truth, but to use reason to simply win arguments in favor of our preferred beliefs. Because of the uncertainty of knowledge, it’s all too easy to use motivated reasoning to “confirm” beliefs we wish to be true and to ignore all contradictory evidence. For this reason, intellectual integrity and humility are far harder to teach than even the rules of rationality itself. But if you do have them, you’ll benefit greatly from this book.
November 21, 2021
Steven Pinker is a firebrand.
And that in itself is a kind of a mystery to me.
Only because I find his basic arguments to be (for lack of a better word) reasonable.
His message is (essentially):
The current state of affairs is obviously concerning.
But if you look at the human condition over the long term, a lot of things are improving.
According to Pinker.
Science, technology, rule of law and liberal democracy have liberated billions of humans from poverty, miserable servitude, disease and political terror.
Even though we had Donald Trump, and even though the planet is obviously dying.
Let’s not panic.
Let’s stay focused, stay the course and (to the very best of our abilities) let’s let evidence and reason dictate our policies.
He’s a very controversial figure to both far left and extreme right of American politics.
The progressive left hate him because he criticizes some of their more anti-intellectual tactics.
Such as politically correct speech suppression, and Romantic mistrust of scientific methods and findings (when they counter progressive liberal talking points).
The extreme right hate him (a little less, but still) because he’s (essentially) an outspoken liberal intellectual.
Some locate him as center right.
Some locate him as center left.
Regardless of his politics (a subject I find uninteresting and distracting from his arguments).
A lot of criticism focuses on his use of data.
Ok.
That’s legit.
Everyone knows statistical data is easily massaged.
But much of the same criticism seems to be politically motivated.
And snore….
As clearly abhorrent, toxic and (add whatever expletive you wish) ridiculous as the Trump era post truth tactics are.
Pinker thinks it is a mistake to allow them to poison the well of liberal thought and policy.
For instance.
Pinker criticizes progressive liberal bias in university culture.
Although my politics (for what it’s worth) lean progressive liberal. I’m absolutely inclined to agree.
Trust and participation in university education is (by my account) a near unalloyed good.
Keeping university culture open to a broad spectrum of thought keeps the engine of progress chugging.
My mother (a philosophy professor) used to say, “remove the agitator from the washing machine and see how clean the clothes get”.
Seeking to stifle open debate in university is like a left wing version of the POS reverend Jerry Falwell‘s moral majority caucus from the 1980’s.
In case you’re too young to remember how awful that bullshit was, Google it!
Zealous adherence to “woke” new speak, cancel culture bullying, and cringe worthy nakedly transparent, “progressive” virtue signaling are toxic to the type of spirited open debate and evidence based methodology that makes university culture worthy of trust.
My mom aslo used to say “never fight with a pig because you both get muddy and the pig will love it”.
The intuitive response to Trump era populist neofascist agitprop is to adopt an equal and opposite intellectual counterpose.
But if we do, we’re sinking to an unspeakable low.
Pinker’s argument (as far as I can tell) is:
Rather than join in the pizza gate style, post truth, epistemological nightmare.
Better to stay the course, welcome reasonable debate, adhere to reliable methods, adjust policy based on hard evidence and continue to move, step by (at times excruciatingly slow) step, in the direction liberal humanistic values.
I can’t reasonably disagree.
Lastly.
Many criticize Pinker’s admittedly corny humor.
This is as much a matter of taste as anything.
But I’m gonna come out in favor of it.
I find Pinker‘s clever and witty ‘dad’ jokes to be laugh out loud funny.
They make his otherwise dense writing massively entertaining and fun.
Like, I wish my dad was that fucking funny.
Anyway.
Given that Pinker is clearly a flawed human.
And just for fun, name a human that isn’t.
I’m a fan boy.
And I fucking loved this book.
Sorry about it ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
FIVE STARS ⭐️
And that in itself is a kind of a mystery to me.
Only because I find his basic arguments to be (for lack of a better word) reasonable.
His message is (essentially):
The current state of affairs is obviously concerning.
But if you look at the human condition over the long term, a lot of things are improving.
According to Pinker.
Science, technology, rule of law and liberal democracy have liberated billions of humans from poverty, miserable servitude, disease and political terror.
Even though we had Donald Trump, and even though the planet is obviously dying.
Let’s not panic.
Let’s stay focused, stay the course and (to the very best of our abilities) let’s let evidence and reason dictate our policies.
He’s a very controversial figure to both far left and extreme right of American politics.
The progressive left hate him because he criticizes some of their more anti-intellectual tactics.
Such as politically correct speech suppression, and Romantic mistrust of scientific methods and findings (when they counter progressive liberal talking points).
The extreme right hate him (a little less, but still) because he’s (essentially) an outspoken liberal intellectual.
Some locate him as center right.
Some locate him as center left.
Regardless of his politics (a subject I find uninteresting and distracting from his arguments).
A lot of criticism focuses on his use of data.
Ok.
That’s legit.
Everyone knows statistical data is easily massaged.
But much of the same criticism seems to be politically motivated.
And snore….
As clearly abhorrent, toxic and (add whatever expletive you wish) ridiculous as the Trump era post truth tactics are.
Pinker thinks it is a mistake to allow them to poison the well of liberal thought and policy.
For instance.
Pinker criticizes progressive liberal bias in university culture.
Although my politics (for what it’s worth) lean progressive liberal. I’m absolutely inclined to agree.
Trust and participation in university education is (by my account) a near unalloyed good.
Keeping university culture open to a broad spectrum of thought keeps the engine of progress chugging.
My mother (a philosophy professor) used to say, “remove the agitator from the washing machine and see how clean the clothes get”.
Seeking to stifle open debate in university is like a left wing version of the POS reverend Jerry Falwell‘s moral majority caucus from the 1980’s.
In case you’re too young to remember how awful that bullshit was, Google it!
Zealous adherence to “woke” new speak, cancel culture bullying, and cringe worthy nakedly transparent, “progressive” virtue signaling are toxic to the type of spirited open debate and evidence based methodology that makes university culture worthy of trust.
My mom aslo used to say “never fight with a pig because you both get muddy and the pig will love it”.
The intuitive response to Trump era populist neofascist agitprop is to adopt an equal and opposite intellectual counterpose.
But if we do, we’re sinking to an unspeakable low.
Pinker’s argument (as far as I can tell) is:
Rather than join in the pizza gate style, post truth, epistemological nightmare.
Better to stay the course, welcome reasonable debate, adhere to reliable methods, adjust policy based on hard evidence and continue to move, step by (at times excruciatingly slow) step, in the direction liberal humanistic values.
I can’t reasonably disagree.
Lastly.
Many criticize Pinker’s admittedly corny humor.
This is as much a matter of taste as anything.
But I’m gonna come out in favor of it.
I find Pinker‘s clever and witty ‘dad’ jokes to be laugh out loud funny.
They make his otherwise dense writing massively entertaining and fun.
Like, I wish my dad was that fucking funny.
Anyway.
Given that Pinker is clearly a flawed human.
And just for fun, name a human that isn’t.
I’m a fan boy.
And I fucking loved this book.
Sorry about it ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
FIVE STARS ⭐️
October 26, 2021
Are all maps equally useful?
Suppose that you are lost in the Himalayas but only have a map of the Pyrenees. Is this map helpful? Sure, it is viable as fuel for fire but not as a map to navigate the territory. Maps correspond to the territory as our beliefs correspond to reality. Are all beliefs about reality equally accurate? Are all beliefs about how to achieve a goal equally conducive?
You cannot make an accurate map of a city by sitting at home with your eyes shut and drawing lines upon paper according to your impulses. The lack of an ultimate map of the territory does not imply that no map is better than another or that the territory doesn’t exist. Similarly, the absence of an ultimate belief system does not mean that all beliefs are equally valid or that reality does not exist! A false belief feels the same from the inside as a true belief until you run an experiment.
How does Pinker define Rationality? He certainly does not define it as "objective facts." He is an imperfect mortal, but he is not so naive. The modern-day definition of Rationality fully embraces the inherent subjectivity of the human experience. It fully embraces the intrinsically probabilistic nature of human knowledge. It fully embraces the enormous advances that have been achieved in modern cognitive science, which assert that all organisms create models of their worlds (refer to Active Inference by K J Friston et al.).
There is currently no single, ultimate theory of Rationality, and Pinker does not pretend one exists. A complete theory of Rationality requires that we have a complete theory of cognition; not only human cognition but all possible minds. That being said, we do have some conjectures about what Rationality tools work effectively and why. Pinker dedicates 7 chapters of his book to exploring these tools. These tools are not prescriptive. They are simply tools. It is up to you whether you decide to use them or ignore them.
Pinker defines Rationality as follows: to use knowledge to achieve goals. Another commonly accepted and similar definition is:
If you think “rationality” is “bad” then you are almost certainly defining it as something other than the above. Rationality does not prescribe goals. Therefore, it is not in principle good or bad. Rationality is beyond good and evil.
If someone wants to reject this definition and claim that it's "contradictory" or "impossible", then they have the daunting burden of explaining to the rest of us exactly how and why it's impossible to improve our models of the world and exactly how and why we cannot improve at achieving goals.
I like to think of rationality as “The Art of Mapmaking.” It’s the art of achieving better map-territory convergence. The art of making our mental models more resembling of reality and of making our roadmaps for achieving goals more conducive.
Rationality does not claim to know "objective truth". Instead, it provides us with a set of tools that promise to improve our chances of making better predictions of future experiences. Objective reality is not a place we can ever reach (as far as we know) but rather a direction. This quote from The Constitution of Knowledge captures this beautifully:
You will find some reviewers here making claims along the lines of "There are no objective facts; such things are self-contradictory" as criticism of this book. This makes me question their underlying agenda. Such claims make three transgressions. First, a strawman argument for Rationality has never claimed to know objective facts. Second, this sentence is itself a contradiction for if it's true, it must be false. Third, such claims denigrate without providing alternatives, i.e. they are cynical.
If you think that contradictions are somehow ok because Hegel said "Everything is inherently contradictory, and in the sense that this law in contrast to the others expresses rather the truth and the essential nature of things" in a remark in the Doctrine of Essence then you probably need to expand your horizons and move beyond Hegel. Bertrand Russell's attack on Platonists in his epic polemic A History of Western Philosophy applies aptly to Hegel and Hegelians:
Some critics of rationality like to use this quote from The Enigma of Reason:
This perspective is centred around comparing people's beliefs with each other but disregards an external reality, which is the ultimate judge of the accuracy of beliefs. It present truth as just a weapon in a power struggle. This kind of thinking is futile because it gets stuck in an infinite loop of comparing maps and ignoring the territory.
Whenever someone attacks reason, their goal is to replace it with themselves as the authority on truth, a thinly veiled attempt to convince others to think and act as they suggest. This kind of attempt is pathetic because it only works until it comes into contact with the stress-testing of reality. Dogmatists deliberately operate to distort our reality for political gain. Once you detach people from reality and reason, ask a soviet propagandist, you open them to demagoguery, to deceit, they become cynical, they become disorientated, they become demoralised. All these things make it easier to control a political environment.
Lasting persuasion is a byproduct of good explanations, which are precise predictions of future experiences. Galileo certainly was not a persuasive lad but most of us today take for granted that the Earth moves around the Sun. This letter from Galileo to Kepler in 1610 conveys both his frustration at the obstinacy of the crowds and failure to persuade:
Why do we find Galileo's theory about the world more convincing than it's preceding or competing theories? It is because this theory in contrast to the others offers a more precise map of reality, not because Galilio was a good rhetorician.
Similarly, we find the physics of Einstein more convincing than the physics of Newton, not because Einstein was a better rhetorician than Newton but because the physics of Einstein achieves better map-territory convergence compared to that of Newton. The physics of Einstein offers more precise assertions about reality. When calculating the Earth-Moon transfer orbit with each type of physics, we find that Einstein's relativity produces predictions that are more accurate by ~1.3cm.
Another quote from A History of Western Philosophy by Bertrand Russell beautifully and succinctly captures the problems with anti-rational philosophy:
I am highly critical of arbitrary distinctions between intellect/rationality and intuition/emotion. Such distinctions are abused in certain philosophies to futile ends. Intuitions/emotions are not magic, they have a well (but not perfectly) understood physiological basis (refer to Handbook of Emotions by L F Barrett et al.). Distinctions between system 1 (gut-feeling) and system 2 (analytical) are handy in some specific contexts, such as when talking about cognitive biases, highlighting how our brains compromise accuracy for speed. However, all of these are aspects of the same thing, namely our experience of the world. Dividing our experience up into these categories and then claiming that knowledge created by our intuitions is superior to that created otherwise is unsubstantiated.
While we are talking about intuitions and emotions, it is important to point out that the stereotype of the rationalist as devoid of emotions is also unsubstantiated. It is perfectly rational to be respectful of other people's emotions, for you are less likely to succeed at achieving your goals if you are unkind.
What I liked about this book:
This book is more succinct and mainstream than Rationality: From AI to Zombies. Rationality: A-Z goes into more depth, which is unsurprising given that it's about four times longer. Pinker's book is more suitable for most people as an introduction to rationality.
I quite liked that Pinker doesn't portray humans are irretrievably irrational savages, something many books on cognitive biases do. Pinker provides examples showing that despite our numerous cognitive biases, we are very rational animals, just not in all contexts. In situations that our survival depended on, we are remarkably rational.
The San people of the Kalahari Desert, despite their mythological beliefs, are stunningly rational. Louis Liebenberg documented how the San people use Bayesian reasoning for hunting, applying it to footprints and animal droppings to build an accurate picture of an arid desert on which they have subsisted for many thousands of years.
The chapters on probabilistic reasoning and causal inference provided the most intuitive high-level explanations of those concepts that I’ve come across!
What I disliked about this book:
This book is too mainstream and flavourless for my liking. It explains the concepts well, it is witty and the examples used are well selected and well presented, but it lacked the forcefulness and opinionatedness that Rationality: From AI to Zombies had.
This book is titled Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters but the "Why It Matters" part of the book is rushed and I found Pinker's justification not quite profound or particularly convincing. I found Rationality: A-Z to be much more convincing.
Pinker references this series of Tweets by Tim Farley regarding the harm of irrationality:
Pinker also references this study Individual differences in adult decision-making competence by Wändi Bruine de Bruin, et al. which found that after controlling a few factors, such as intelligence and socioeconomic status, competence in reasoning and decision making was correlated with positive life outcomes. However, this doesn't prove causation and still counts as weak evidence.
Please don't be influenced by the mob that is trying to cancel Pinker for being an optimistic and honest man. Read Pinker's books and decide for yourself.
Overall, a good book on rationality. Four stars because this book doesn’t offer a better explanation than previously available (and I dislike the cover). It merely summarises other peoples’ ideas in a clear, witty and succinct way.
Suppose that you are lost in the Himalayas but only have a map of the Pyrenees. Is this map helpful? Sure, it is viable as fuel for fire but not as a map to navigate the territory. Maps correspond to the territory as our beliefs correspond to reality. Are all beliefs about reality equally accurate? Are all beliefs about how to achieve a goal equally conducive?
You cannot make an accurate map of a city by sitting at home with your eyes shut and drawing lines upon paper according to your impulses. The lack of an ultimate map of the territory does not imply that no map is better than another or that the territory doesn’t exist. Similarly, the absence of an ultimate belief system does not mean that all beliefs are equally valid or that reality does not exist! A false belief feels the same from the inside as a true belief until you run an experiment.
How does Pinker define Rationality? He certainly does not define it as "objective facts." He is an imperfect mortal, but he is not so naive. The modern-day definition of Rationality fully embraces the inherent subjectivity of the human experience. It fully embraces the intrinsically probabilistic nature of human knowledge. It fully embraces the enormous advances that have been achieved in modern cognitive science, which assert that all organisms create models of their worlds (refer to Active Inference by K J Friston et al.).
There is currently no single, ultimate theory of Rationality, and Pinker does not pretend one exists. A complete theory of Rationality requires that we have a complete theory of cognition; not only human cognition but all possible minds. That being said, we do have some conjectures about what Rationality tools work effectively and why. Pinker dedicates 7 chapters of his book to exploring these tools. These tools are not prescriptive. They are simply tools. It is up to you whether you decide to use them or ignore them.
Pinker defines Rationality as follows: to use knowledge to achieve goals. Another commonly accepted and similar definition is:
Epistemic rationality: to systematically improve the probabilities of your beliefs about reality.
Instrumental rationality: to systematically improve at achieving your goals.
If you think “rationality” is “bad” then you are almost certainly defining it as something other than the above. Rationality does not prescribe goals. Therefore, it is not in principle good or bad. Rationality is beyond good and evil.
If someone wants to reject this definition and claim that it's "contradictory" or "impossible", then they have the daunting burden of explaining to the rest of us exactly how and why it's impossible to improve our models of the world and exactly how and why we cannot improve at achieving goals.
I like to think of rationality as “The Art of Mapmaking.” It’s the art of achieving better map-territory convergence. The art of making our mental models more resembling of reality and of making our roadmaps for achieving goals more conducive.
Rationality does not claim to know "objective truth". Instead, it provides us with a set of tools that promise to improve our chances of making better predictions of future experiences. Objective reality is not a place we can ever reach (as far as we know) but rather a direction. This quote from The Constitution of Knowledge captures this beautifully:
"Truth, as Karl Popper said, is a regulative principle. Like north, it is a direction, an orientation, not a destination. When we join the reality-based community—when we sign up for the years of training, the exacting research, the criticism and lost arguments—we resolve to conduct ourselves as if reality were out there and objectivity were possible, even while acknowledging that reality is elusive and perfect objectivity is impossible."
You will find some reviewers here making claims along the lines of "There are no objective facts; such things are self-contradictory" as criticism of this book. This makes me question their underlying agenda. Such claims make three transgressions. First, a strawman argument for Rationality has never claimed to know objective facts. Second, this sentence is itself a contradiction for if it's true, it must be false. Third, such claims denigrate without providing alternatives, i.e. they are cynical.
If you think that contradictions are somehow ok because Hegel said "Everything is inherently contradictory, and in the sense that this law in contrast to the others expresses rather the truth and the essential nature of things" in a remark in the Doctrine of Essence then you probably need to expand your horizons and move beyond Hegel. Bertrand Russell's attack on Platonists in his epic polemic A History of Western Philosophy applies aptly to Hegel and Hegelians:
"It is noteworthy that modern Platonists, almost without exception, are ignorant of mathematics, despite the immense importance that Plato attached to arithmetic and geometry, and the immense influence that they had on his philosophy... a man must not write on Plato unless he has spent so much of his youth on Greek as to have had no time for the things that Plato thought important."
Some critics of rationality like to use this quote from The Enigma of Reason:
"Whereas reason is commonly viewed as a superior means to think better on one’s own, we argue that it is mainly used in our interactions with others. We produce reasons in order to justify our thoughts and actions to others and to produce arguments to convince others to think and act as we suggest."
This perspective is centred around comparing people's beliefs with each other but disregards an external reality, which is the ultimate judge of the accuracy of beliefs. It present truth as just a weapon in a power struggle. This kind of thinking is futile because it gets stuck in an infinite loop of comparing maps and ignoring the territory.
Whenever someone attacks reason, their goal is to replace it with themselves as the authority on truth, a thinly veiled attempt to convince others to think and act as they suggest. This kind of attempt is pathetic because it only works until it comes into contact with the stress-testing of reality. Dogmatists deliberately operate to distort our reality for political gain. Once you detach people from reality and reason, ask a soviet propagandist, you open them to demagoguery, to deceit, they become cynical, they become disorientated, they become demoralised. All these things make it easier to control a political environment.
Lasting persuasion is a byproduct of good explanations, which are precise predictions of future experiences. Galileo certainly was not a persuasive lad but most of us today take for granted that the Earth moves around the Sun. This letter from Galileo to Kepler in 1610 conveys both his frustration at the obstinacy of the crowds and failure to persuade:
"My dear Kepler, I wish we could laugh at the extraordinary stupidity of the mob. What say you about the foremost philosophers of this University, who with the obstinacy of a stuffed snake, and despite my attempts and invitations a thousand times they have refused to look at the planets, or the moon, or my telescope?"
Why do we find Galileo's theory about the world more convincing than it's preceding or competing theories? It is because this theory in contrast to the others offers a more precise map of reality, not because Galilio was a good rhetorician.
Similarly, we find the physics of Einstein more convincing than the physics of Newton, not because Einstein was a better rhetorician than Newton but because the physics of Einstein achieves better map-territory convergence compared to that of Newton. The physics of Einstein offers more precise assertions about reality. When calculating the Earth-Moon transfer orbit with each type of physics, we find that Einstein's relativity produces predictions that are more accurate by ~1.3cm.
Another quote from A History of Western Philosophy by Bertrand Russell beautifully and succinctly captures the problems with anti-rational philosophy:
One of the bad effects of an anti-intellectual philosophy, such as that of Bergson [and Hegel], is that it thrives upon the errors and confusions of the intellect. Hence it is led to prefer bad thinking to good, to declare every momentary difficulty insoluble, and to regard every foolish mistake as revealing the bankruptcy of intellect and the triumph of intuitions.
I am highly critical of arbitrary distinctions between intellect/rationality and intuition/emotion. Such distinctions are abused in certain philosophies to futile ends. Intuitions/emotions are not magic, they have a well (but not perfectly) understood physiological basis (refer to Handbook of Emotions by L F Barrett et al.). Distinctions between system 1 (gut-feeling) and system 2 (analytical) are handy in some specific contexts, such as when talking about cognitive biases, highlighting how our brains compromise accuracy for speed. However, all of these are aspects of the same thing, namely our experience of the world. Dividing our experience up into these categories and then claiming that knowledge created by our intuitions is superior to that created otherwise is unsubstantiated.
While we are talking about intuitions and emotions, it is important to point out that the stereotype of the rationalist as devoid of emotions is also unsubstantiated. It is perfectly rational to be respectful of other people's emotions, for you are less likely to succeed at achieving your goals if you are unkind.
What I liked about this book:
This book is more succinct and mainstream than Rationality: From AI to Zombies. Rationality: A-Z goes into more depth, which is unsurprising given that it's about four times longer. Pinker's book is more suitable for most people as an introduction to rationality.
I quite liked that Pinker doesn't portray humans are irretrievably irrational savages, something many books on cognitive biases do. Pinker provides examples showing that despite our numerous cognitive biases, we are very rational animals, just not in all contexts. In situations that our survival depended on, we are remarkably rational.
The San people of the Kalahari Desert, despite their mythological beliefs, are stunningly rational. Louis Liebenberg documented how the San people use Bayesian reasoning for hunting, applying it to footprints and animal droppings to build an accurate picture of an arid desert on which they have subsisted for many thousands of years.
The chapters on probabilistic reasoning and causal inference provided the most intuitive high-level explanations of those concepts that I’ve come across!
What I disliked about this book:
This book is too mainstream and flavourless for my liking. It explains the concepts well, it is witty and the examples used are well selected and well presented, but it lacked the forcefulness and opinionatedness that Rationality: From AI to Zombies had.
This book is titled Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters but the "Why It Matters" part of the book is rushed and I found Pinker's justification not quite profound or particularly convincing. I found Rationality: A-Z to be much more convincing.
Pinker references this series of Tweets by Tim Farley regarding the harm of irrationality:
> What’s the harm in conspiracy theories? FBI identifies “conspiracy-driven domestic extremists” as a new domestic terror threat.
> What’s the harm in getting health advice from an #herbalist? A 13-year-old died after being told not to take insulin. Now the herbalist is headed to jail.
> What’s the harm in a #faithhealing church? Ginnifer fought for her life for 4 hours. Travis Mitchell, her father, “laid on hands” and the family took turns praying as she struggled to breathe and changed colors. “I knew she was dead when she didn’t cry out anymore,” Mitchell said.
> What’s the harm in believing in supernatural beings? Sumatran villagers killed an endangered tiger because they thought it was a shape-shifting “siluman.”
> What’s the harm in seeing a #psychic? Maryland “psychic” convicted of scamming clients out of $340K.
Pinker also references this study Individual differences in adult decision-making competence by Wändi Bruine de Bruin, et al. which found that after controlling a few factors, such as intelligence and socioeconomic status, competence in reasoning and decision making was correlated with positive life outcomes. However, this doesn't prove causation and still counts as weak evidence.
Please don't be influenced by the mob that is trying to cancel Pinker for being an optimistic and honest man. Read Pinker's books and decide for yourself.
Overall, a good book on rationality. Four stars because this book doesn’t offer a better explanation than previously available (and I dislike the cover). It merely summarises other peoples’ ideas in a clear, witty and succinct way.
March 9, 2022
I have read all of Steven Pinker's books, and enjoyed this one as well. Before reading this one, though, I thought that it might be somewhat boring. After all, how interesting could this subject be?
Boy, was I wrong! Pinker has written a truly engaging book. Every page is fascinating. In addition, this is the most humorous book that Pinker has written. For example, this quote from comedian George Carlin:
“Tell people there’s an invisible man in the sky who created the universe, and the vast majority will believe you. Tell them the paint is wet, and they have to touch it to be sure.”
Or, this quote from the book:
“Mao Zedong forced Chinese farmers to crowd their seedlings together to enhance their socialist solidarity, and a recent American leader suggested that Covid-19could be treated with injections of bleach.”
Naturally, there is a lot of discussion about the difference between correlation and causation, summed up nicely in this little cartoon by XKCD:
I particularly found the last chapters to be interesting. Why do so many people have such bizarre beliefs? Pinker's answer is that there is believing and "believing". People can hold "beliefs" that they don't hold as factually true. If people really held their fantastical theories to be true, they would behave quite differently, and more seriously.
This is a fantastic book that puts together in one place, all the ways in which people's rationality goes awry. There is a big emphasis on Bayesian reasoning--and rightly so. Most people don't know what Bayes' theorem is, but when they think things out rationally, they apply it. If you don't apply it--even implicitly and unconsciously--your thinking may likely become irrational.
Boy, was I wrong! Pinker has written a truly engaging book. Every page is fascinating. In addition, this is the most humorous book that Pinker has written. For example, this quote from comedian George Carlin:
“Tell people there’s an invisible man in the sky who created the universe, and the vast majority will believe you. Tell them the paint is wet, and they have to touch it to be sure.”
Or, this quote from the book:
“Mao Zedong forced Chinese farmers to crowd their seedlings together to enhance their socialist solidarity, and a recent American leader suggested that Covid-19could be treated with injections of bleach.”
Naturally, there is a lot of discussion about the difference between correlation and causation, summed up nicely in this little cartoon by XKCD:
I particularly found the last chapters to be interesting. Why do so many people have such bizarre beliefs? Pinker's answer is that there is believing and "believing". People can hold "beliefs" that they don't hold as factually true. If people really held their fantastical theories to be true, they would behave quite differently, and more seriously.
This is a fantastic book that puts together in one place, all the ways in which people's rationality goes awry. There is a big emphasis on Bayesian reasoning--and rightly so. Most people don't know what Bayes' theorem is, but when they think things out rationally, they apply it. If you don't apply it--even implicitly and unconsciously--your thinking may likely become irrational.
March 4, 2022
Não te Percas da Razão
“Começar a raciocinar é como entrar numa escada rolante que sobe até se perder de vista. Depois de termos dado o primeiro passo, a distância a ser percorrida é independente da nossa vontade e não podemos saber de antemão onde iremos parar.”
Porque somos racionais fomos à Lua, aumentámos a esperança de vida, descobrimos o Big Bang, etc, etc, etc,...
São múltiplas e variadas as conquistas da racionalidade!
Porém, para alguns, Hillary Clinton geria um esquema de sexo infantil numa pizzaria, os rastos dos aviões são drogas que alteram a mente e ainda há quem creia em casas assombradas sem, contudo, crer em fantasmas (Por Zeus! Que dupla incoerência!!)
Na melhor das hipóteses dir-se-ia que de racional e louco todos temos um pouco. Contudo, o caso parece mais grave…
Bem, a boa notícia é que a racionalidade tem um trilho que o autor deste livro fez questão em descortinar. Se o seguirmos… não nos perderemos…
O Universo é uma eterna ostra para os que fazem questão em manter a razão por perto!
A Racionalidade é uma Caçadora de Pérolas!!!
“Começar a raciocinar é como entrar numa escada rolante que sobe até se perder de vista. Depois de termos dado o primeiro passo, a distância a ser percorrida é independente da nossa vontade e não podemos saber de antemão onde iremos parar.”
Porque somos racionais fomos à Lua, aumentámos a esperança de vida, descobrimos o Big Bang, etc, etc, etc,...
São múltiplas e variadas as conquistas da racionalidade!
Porém, para alguns, Hillary Clinton geria um esquema de sexo infantil numa pizzaria, os rastos dos aviões são drogas que alteram a mente e ainda há quem creia em casas assombradas sem, contudo, crer em fantasmas (Por Zeus! Que dupla incoerência!!)
Na melhor das hipóteses dir-se-ia que de racional e louco todos temos um pouco. Contudo, o caso parece mais grave…
Bem, a boa notícia é que a racionalidade tem um trilho que o autor deste livro fez questão em descortinar. Se o seguirmos… não nos perderemos…
O Universo é uma eterna ostra para os que fazem questão em manter a razão por perto!
A Racionalidade é uma Caçadora de Pérolas!!!
October 3, 2024
In Rationality, Harvard professor Steven Pinker explores why humanity “appears to be losing its mind.” How can the same species "that developed vaccines for Covid-19 in less than a year,” Pinker wonders, “produce so much fake news, medical quackery, and conspiracy theorizing?”
He's asking a great question.
The answer, as Pinker explains, is that some people have embraced rationality--letting the facts and logic determine their views--while others just believe what they want to about the world.
It's helpful to ask yourself: Which side of the line are you on?
Being rational is a much better approach. The world is complicated and rarely conforms to the oversimplified narratives of zealots and partisans. It's far better to be accurate and independent than wrong and partisan.
The latter approach can cause trouble. As Pinker explains: “Instead of feeling any need to persuade, people who are certain they are correct can impose their beliefs by force. In theocracies and autocracies, authorities censor, imprison, exile or burn those with the wrong opinions. In democracies the force is less brutish, but people still find means to impose a belief rather than argue for it.”
It's far better to applaud rational thinking: “It would be nice to see people earn brownie points for acknowledging uncertainty in their beliefs, questioning the dogmas of their political sect, and changing their minds when the facts change, rather than for being steadfast warriors for the dogmas of their clique.”
In sum, Pinker provides nice tools for thinking about complicated subjects and maintaining accuracy in our thinking. Well worth reading.
He's asking a great question.
The answer, as Pinker explains, is that some people have embraced rationality--letting the facts and logic determine their views--while others just believe what they want to about the world.
It's helpful to ask yourself: Which side of the line are you on?
Being rational is a much better approach. The world is complicated and rarely conforms to the oversimplified narratives of zealots and partisans. It's far better to be accurate and independent than wrong and partisan.
The latter approach can cause trouble. As Pinker explains: “Instead of feeling any need to persuade, people who are certain they are correct can impose their beliefs by force. In theocracies and autocracies, authorities censor, imprison, exile or burn those with the wrong opinions. In democracies the force is less brutish, but people still find means to impose a belief rather than argue for it.”
It's far better to applaud rational thinking: “It would be nice to see people earn brownie points for acknowledging uncertainty in their beliefs, questioning the dogmas of their political sect, and changing their minds when the facts change, rather than for being steadfast warriors for the dogmas of their clique.”
In sum, Pinker provides nice tools for thinking about complicated subjects and maintaining accuracy in our thinking. Well worth reading.
October 8, 2021
Rationality spends most of the book length covering elementary concepts from a collection of subjects. Even when it comes to pulling them together for something original in conclusions, the book fails equally abjectly.
For some strange reasons, the author recounts the topics well covered in hundreds of books from the fields of probability theory, statistics, game theory, logic, behavioral sciences, and the likes. These discussions are staggeringly unoriginal in their conclusions and the details - say in the examples or illustrations used, descriptions, or explanations of the formulas. These chapters form almost 90% of the book; they are without a single aha moment for those even somewhat familiar.
When one finally reaches the most anticipated part - something even the author pens in as many words to start the section - the disappointment compounds with the banality of the postamble. Rather than spending any more time about the book's content, the reviewer is jotting down his thoughts sparked by the book - not necessarily original but undoubtedly personal.
Nothing is entirely rational, or everything is, because of the massive range of issues that impact any rational analysis. A deployment of rational concepts and tools for human brains - even those straightforward ones in math and logic - requires immense training. Behavioral finance is replete with examples of how our intuitions crumble in various reasonably objective settings. At the same time, other psychological fields prove our mental inadequacies in dealing with situations that require intricate interplays.
In real life, many factors that go into rational-conclusion-throwing-cauldron are highly subjective. What one decides as a rational course of action is dependent on the highly subjective utility functions, ethics, and personal histories. Circumstances and experiences play additional random roles in what the person doing the analysis prioritizes as the primary goal at a specific time point while relegating the other discordant types.
All of the above does not count the role played by norms and expectations. The book shows well through discussions on taboos, the societies and communities around us erect artificial bounds on rational tools, methods, analysis, and conclusions available to us.
One of the key conclusions the book fails to draw despite coming close is the circularities involved in rational thinking because of the concepts like Bayesian priors. Priors are those critical irrationals - call them axioms, beliefs, superstitions, assumptions, or whatever else – at the root of most real-life rational analysis. Like in Newton Method in calculus, and actually far worse, the results of a supposedly rational exercise are utterly dependent on the initial assumptions for which there is often no obvious agreement.
Say my faith in what I hear from my ancestors makes me believe that there is almost a hundred percent probability of the existence of black swans, even if extremely rare. Let's say that while I meet a hundred who consider me a looney, I also meet a believer who claims that he spotted a black swan in the dark of the night recently. The others may consider this person delusional, but given my priors, I would not only give higher credence to such one-off data points but use them to increase my overall conviction levels.
One can replace Black Swan with a ghost or a unicorn or a particular type of god or even geocentric views at the times of Galileo to see how what is deemed irrational by one may not be irrational at all in the contexts of the highly subjective priors one starts with. And all this is not factoring in limits of rationality most cleverly exposed in game theory situations but more realistically observed in people with differing goals. In practical life, it often pays - "rationally" - to be irrational.
What is rational is not a zero-one game, but it is not even a scale where at one end you have things as true as 2 and 2 equals four, with the opposite having the claims of the same as five. Rationality is a multi-dimensional landscape shaped by the above and more - like rules, laws, generally accepted objective facts, etc.
Any conclusions veering towards the paucity of absolutes for a field searching for the truths would leave almost everyone unhappy, including the most liberals. Clearly, many with specific input parameters would rationally decide to be intolerant of anyone who does not subscribe to their views. Even a few in any mix would create those game theory situations where it is rationally better for all to become intolerant of dissenting groups.
With such extreme analysis, rationality turns out to be not just axiomatic (and almost irrational or faith-based) but also nihilistic. Or in other words, it does not pay to overthink rationality!
For some strange reasons, the author recounts the topics well covered in hundreds of books from the fields of probability theory, statistics, game theory, logic, behavioral sciences, and the likes. These discussions are staggeringly unoriginal in their conclusions and the details - say in the examples or illustrations used, descriptions, or explanations of the formulas. These chapters form almost 90% of the book; they are without a single aha moment for those even somewhat familiar.
When one finally reaches the most anticipated part - something even the author pens in as many words to start the section - the disappointment compounds with the banality of the postamble. Rather than spending any more time about the book's content, the reviewer is jotting down his thoughts sparked by the book - not necessarily original but undoubtedly personal.
Nothing is entirely rational, or everything is, because of the massive range of issues that impact any rational analysis. A deployment of rational concepts and tools for human brains - even those straightforward ones in math and logic - requires immense training. Behavioral finance is replete with examples of how our intuitions crumble in various reasonably objective settings. At the same time, other psychological fields prove our mental inadequacies in dealing with situations that require intricate interplays.
In real life, many factors that go into rational-conclusion-throwing-cauldron are highly subjective. What one decides as a rational course of action is dependent on the highly subjective utility functions, ethics, and personal histories. Circumstances and experiences play additional random roles in what the person doing the analysis prioritizes as the primary goal at a specific time point while relegating the other discordant types.
All of the above does not count the role played by norms and expectations. The book shows well through discussions on taboos, the societies and communities around us erect artificial bounds on rational tools, methods, analysis, and conclusions available to us.
One of the key conclusions the book fails to draw despite coming close is the circularities involved in rational thinking because of the concepts like Bayesian priors. Priors are those critical irrationals - call them axioms, beliefs, superstitions, assumptions, or whatever else – at the root of most real-life rational analysis. Like in Newton Method in calculus, and actually far worse, the results of a supposedly rational exercise are utterly dependent on the initial assumptions for which there is often no obvious agreement.
Say my faith in what I hear from my ancestors makes me believe that there is almost a hundred percent probability of the existence of black swans, even if extremely rare. Let's say that while I meet a hundred who consider me a looney, I also meet a believer who claims that he spotted a black swan in the dark of the night recently. The others may consider this person delusional, but given my priors, I would not only give higher credence to such one-off data points but use them to increase my overall conviction levels.
One can replace Black Swan with a ghost or a unicorn or a particular type of god or even geocentric views at the times of Galileo to see how what is deemed irrational by one may not be irrational at all in the contexts of the highly subjective priors one starts with. And all this is not factoring in limits of rationality most cleverly exposed in game theory situations but more realistically observed in people with differing goals. In practical life, it often pays - "rationally" - to be irrational.
What is rational is not a zero-one game, but it is not even a scale where at one end you have things as true as 2 and 2 equals four, with the opposite having the claims of the same as five. Rationality is a multi-dimensional landscape shaped by the above and more - like rules, laws, generally accepted objective facts, etc.
Any conclusions veering towards the paucity of absolutes for a field searching for the truths would leave almost everyone unhappy, including the most liberals. Clearly, many with specific input parameters would rationally decide to be intolerant of anyone who does not subscribe to their views. Even a few in any mix would create those game theory situations where it is rationally better for all to become intolerant of dissenting groups.
With such extreme analysis, rationality turns out to be not just axiomatic (and almost irrational or faith-based) but also nihilistic. Or in other words, it does not pay to overthink rationality!
October 7, 2021
Sweet irony! A call to rationality from a white old male who is dominated by his irrational fears: Muslims, Covid, anything that might threaten his dominant status. And, like the Christian preachers he despises, whomever doesn't care about his important issues, they are irrational, a white way to say Haram.
March 2, 2022
What is a man,
If his chief good and market of his time
Be but to sleep and feed? a beast, no more…
https://youtu.be/N7RYRs9nuXI
If his chief good and market of his time
Be but to sleep and feed? a beast, no more…
https://youtu.be/N7RYRs9nuXI
November 14, 2023
Pinker’s book on the diminishing quality of violence in the world seemed somewhat counterintuitive but he backed up his assertions well and even if one didn’t agree with his conclusions one had to appreciate his provocative supposition.
This book is far more bland:probabilities, Gaussian curves, Bayesian projections…
Where Pinker fails is in his own biases…
“Even when the ancient bane of pestilence rose up anew in the twenty-first century, we identified the cause within days, sequenced its genome within weeks, and administered vaccines within a year, keeping its death toll to a fraction of those of historic pandemics.” The vaccines were a mild therapeutic that had a limited window of viability…
“In 2020 the brutal murder of George Floyd, an unarmed African American man, by a white police officer”
Derek Chauvin is innocent…as new/old Medical examiner report illustrated: there was no neck bruising or windpipe damage to Floyd, but there was a lethal dose of fentanyl that surpassed even the average deadly dose for junkies…
“their self-interest to reduce their emission of greenhouse gases, since a warmer planet would bring floods, hurricanes, wildfires, and other disasters that would make their lives worse.” Hurricanes have declined in the last century when supposed anthropogenic warming has supposedly increased…Pinker wrong again…
“and a recent American leader suggested that Covid-19 could be treated with injections of bleach.”
Even politifact has weighed in against Pinker’s falsehood
“after Bryan’s presentation, Trump floated the idea of using disinfectants to treat COVID-19 patients. He did not say Americans should ingest chemicals to prevent or treat the virus.
Here’s the full context:
"A question that probably some of you are thinking of if you’re totally into that world, which I find to be very interesting. So, supposedly we hit the body with a tremendous, whether it’s ultraviolet or just very powerful light, and I think you said that hasn’t been checked, but you’re going to test it. And then I said supposing you brought the light inside the body, which you can do either through the skin or in some other way. (To Bryan) And I think you said you’re going to test that, too. Sounds interesting, right?"
"And then I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in one minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning, because you see it gets in the lungs and it does a tremendous number on the lungs, so it’d be interesting to check that, so that you’re going to have to use medical doctors with, but it sounds interesting to me. So, we’ll see, but the whole concept of the light, the way it kills it in one minute. That’s pretty powerful."
“administered less than a year after the plague emerged. Yet in that same year, the Covid-19 pandemic set off a carnival of cockamamie conspiracy theories: that the disease was a bioweapon engineered in a Chinese lab,”
…not a bio weapon but definitely a virus engineered in the lab at Wuhan…
“He predicted in February 2020 that Covid-19 would disappear “like a miracle,” and endorsed quack cures like malaria drugs, bleach injections, and light probes. He disdained basic public health measures like masks
and distancing,”
…ivermectin seems to have some efficacy, the bleach and light are lies as seen above and masks and distancing have numerous long term studies that show these countermeasures were useless at best and harmful to many…
“He repeatedly publicized QAnon, the millions-strong conspiracy cult that credits him with combating a cabal of Satan-worshiping pedophiles embedded in the American “deep state.”
Never did Trump support Qanon, and if there was no deep state what do you call the 51 Intel experts who falsely claimed Hunter Biden’s laptop was Russian spywork?
A second unpromising lead is to blame today’s irrationality on the current scapegoat for everything, social media.
As jon Haidt has convincingly written…plot the emergence of instagram and forward facing cameras a decade ago and watch it parallel the four fold increase in girls anxiety, depression, and suicidal ideation…
“Though millions of people endorsed the rumor that Hillary Clinton ran a child sex trafficking ring out of the basement of the Comet Ping Pong pizzeria in Washington”
No, even the small percent who claimed they supported Qanon disavowed this story…as pinker points out…people are often ignorant of ideas they think they know…
“The brazen lies and conspiracies of Trumpian post-truth can be seen as an attempt to claim political discourse for
and climate change threaten the well-being of billions.”
The IPCC, gold standard agency for intl climate change claims a two degree increase by 2100…I fail to see how yesterdays temp of 20c will somehow lead to the death of billions of the temp was 22c…longer growing seasons mean more food…oh and the fact that folks die of cold at about 8x heat argues for more heat plz…
“Trump was banned from Twitter for violating its policy against inciting violence;” bc of the twitter files we now know that control of this social platform was engineered by govt pressure..
The press— who’s the purveyors of disinformation?
https://sharylattkisson.com/2023/10/5...
“Educational institutions, from elementary schools to universities” education is a joke…Oregon just discarded any metrics for HS graduation bc it might negatively impact minorities…Baltimore has 40% HS that have zero students proficient in math, while the top 5 schools have a 12% proficiency rate..
“another is a network of international organizations, particularly the United Nations, which knits countries into a community, mobilizes peacekeeping forces”
The UN should be disbanded..giant bureaucracy that the U.S. pays for…and just the last weeks refusal to denounce Hamas is a nice capstone on its treachery…
This book is far more bland:probabilities, Gaussian curves, Bayesian projections…
Where Pinker fails is in his own biases…
“Even when the ancient bane of pestilence rose up anew in the twenty-first century, we identified the cause within days, sequenced its genome within weeks, and administered vaccines within a year, keeping its death toll to a fraction of those of historic pandemics.” The vaccines were a mild therapeutic that had a limited window of viability…
“In 2020 the brutal murder of George Floyd, an unarmed African American man, by a white police officer”
Derek Chauvin is innocent…as new/old Medical examiner report illustrated: there was no neck bruising or windpipe damage to Floyd, but there was a lethal dose of fentanyl that surpassed even the average deadly dose for junkies…
“their self-interest to reduce their emission of greenhouse gases, since a warmer planet would bring floods, hurricanes, wildfires, and other disasters that would make their lives worse.” Hurricanes have declined in the last century when supposed anthropogenic warming has supposedly increased…Pinker wrong again…
“and a recent American leader suggested that Covid-19 could be treated with injections of bleach.”
Even politifact has weighed in against Pinker’s falsehood
“after Bryan’s presentation, Trump floated the idea of using disinfectants to treat COVID-19 patients. He did not say Americans should ingest chemicals to prevent or treat the virus.
Here’s the full context:
"A question that probably some of you are thinking of if you’re totally into that world, which I find to be very interesting. So, supposedly we hit the body with a tremendous, whether it’s ultraviolet or just very powerful light, and I think you said that hasn’t been checked, but you’re going to test it. And then I said supposing you brought the light inside the body, which you can do either through the skin or in some other way. (To Bryan) And I think you said you’re going to test that, too. Sounds interesting, right?"
"And then I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in one minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning, because you see it gets in the lungs and it does a tremendous number on the lungs, so it’d be interesting to check that, so that you’re going to have to use medical doctors with, but it sounds interesting to me. So, we’ll see, but the whole concept of the light, the way it kills it in one minute. That’s pretty powerful."
“administered less than a year after the plague emerged. Yet in that same year, the Covid-19 pandemic set off a carnival of cockamamie conspiracy theories: that the disease was a bioweapon engineered in a Chinese lab,”
…not a bio weapon but definitely a virus engineered in the lab at Wuhan…
“He predicted in February 2020 that Covid-19 would disappear “like a miracle,” and endorsed quack cures like malaria drugs, bleach injections, and light probes. He disdained basic public health measures like masks
and distancing,”
…ivermectin seems to have some efficacy, the bleach and light are lies as seen above and masks and distancing have numerous long term studies that show these countermeasures were useless at best and harmful to many…
“He repeatedly publicized QAnon, the millions-strong conspiracy cult that credits him with combating a cabal of Satan-worshiping pedophiles embedded in the American “deep state.”
Never did Trump support Qanon, and if there was no deep state what do you call the 51 Intel experts who falsely claimed Hunter Biden’s laptop was Russian spywork?
A second unpromising lead is to blame today’s irrationality on the current scapegoat for everything, social media.
As jon Haidt has convincingly written…plot the emergence of instagram and forward facing cameras a decade ago and watch it parallel the four fold increase in girls anxiety, depression, and suicidal ideation…
“Though millions of people endorsed the rumor that Hillary Clinton ran a child sex trafficking ring out of the basement of the Comet Ping Pong pizzeria in Washington”
No, even the small percent who claimed they supported Qanon disavowed this story…as pinker points out…people are often ignorant of ideas they think they know…
“The brazen lies and conspiracies of Trumpian post-truth can be seen as an attempt to claim political discourse for
and climate change threaten the well-being of billions.”
The IPCC, gold standard agency for intl climate change claims a two degree increase by 2100…I fail to see how yesterdays temp of 20c will somehow lead to the death of billions of the temp was 22c…longer growing seasons mean more food…oh and the fact that folks die of cold at about 8x heat argues for more heat plz…
“Trump was banned from Twitter for violating its policy against inciting violence;” bc of the twitter files we now know that control of this social platform was engineered by govt pressure..
The press— who’s the purveyors of disinformation?
https://sharylattkisson.com/2023/10/5...
“Educational institutions, from elementary schools to universities” education is a joke…Oregon just discarded any metrics for HS graduation bc it might negatively impact minorities…Baltimore has 40% HS that have zero students proficient in math, while the top 5 schools have a 12% proficiency rate..
“another is a network of international organizations, particularly the United Nations, which knits countries into a community, mobilizes peacekeeping forces”
The UN should be disbanded..giant bureaucracy that the U.S. pays for…and just the last weeks refusal to denounce Hamas is a nice capstone on its treachery…
September 7, 2022
Objective of the book: 5
Certain arguments: 3
So, to sum up:
-Trump is a stupid asshole
- We are a rational species that can trigger stupidity at whole other levels
This part is ok. I mean, this book explains some of the reasons why we can be really, really stupid. There are not just fallacies in logic (ad hominem, ad verecundiam, conjunction, genetic, sunk-cost, straw man and a hundred more), but there are also psychological biases (confirmation, cognitive, and many, many more) that really fuck up our method of reasoning. Many chapters of the book are all about this. Explanations of fallacies and biases, how to detect them, and what they have done to societies.
- Pinker does not only loves graphs, but statistics as well
I SUCK at statistics, I really do. There are many chapters concerning Venn diagrams, conjunctions, and aritmethical logic. These parts really wanted me to end the book sooner, and most of these charts are added to let you know just how stupid you are. Yes. You will probably end up giving the wrong answers. I would never like to be the person to read him the result of his blood or urine exams.
- Right-wing politics do not cope with science (I really have a problem with this)
Why?
Well, out of the magician's hat, he said this. But, as far as Im concerned, movements like the LGBTIQ and the other 50 genders, actually DENY biology, molecular biology, anthropology, forensic anthropology and evolutionary psychology. Don't even get me started on movements like ANTIFA and BLM, that take history and flushes it out of the toilet. Historical analysis and moral psychology are actually "science". So, that's my problem.
- War sucks
Yes, it does. But to mention it in the last chapter, without mentioning the fact that war itself is deeply human, part of our nature, may not be deeply informative. I was lucky enough to read "War" from David Livingstone Smith to totally or partially comprehend it.
- He used a couple of times the word "mansplaining", which according to evolutionary psychologist Gad Saad is something really, really subjective and stupid.
- Pinker loves David Hume
Overall, the objective of the book is clear, the pandemic really shattered societies and let us clearly perceive how stupid societies have become. We are indeed primates that understand the universe, and as primates (order: Primates) we are mammals with a social media profile and a smartphone. So, OF COURSE we are right on the track to comment, share and like stupidity. Now, it is the rule. The stupider you are, the more influencer you become, thus famous. That's why Gad Saad and many others are fighting against parasitic ideologies, and this is the part where the contributions of the author's take place: mechanisms to identify fails in logic (fallacies) and biases.
We are doomed to eternal idioticy if we do not exercise our right to execute free speech and shut up stupidity.
Certain arguments: 3
So, to sum up:
-Trump is a stupid asshole
- We are a rational species that can trigger stupidity at whole other levels
This part is ok. I mean, this book explains some of the reasons why we can be really, really stupid. There are not just fallacies in logic (ad hominem, ad verecundiam, conjunction, genetic, sunk-cost, straw man and a hundred more), but there are also psychological biases (confirmation, cognitive, and many, many more) that really fuck up our method of reasoning. Many chapters of the book are all about this. Explanations of fallacies and biases, how to detect them, and what they have done to societies.
- Pinker does not only loves graphs, but statistics as well
I SUCK at statistics, I really do. There are many chapters concerning Venn diagrams, conjunctions, and aritmethical logic. These parts really wanted me to end the book sooner, and most of these charts are added to let you know just how stupid you are. Yes. You will probably end up giving the wrong answers. I would never like to be the person to read him the result of his blood or urine exams.
- Right-wing politics do not cope with science (I really have a problem with this)
Why?
Well, out of the magician's hat, he said this. But, as far as Im concerned, movements like the LGBTIQ and the other 50 genders, actually DENY biology, molecular biology, anthropology, forensic anthropology and evolutionary psychology. Don't even get me started on movements like ANTIFA and BLM, that take history and flushes it out of the toilet. Historical analysis and moral psychology are actually "science". So, that's my problem.
- War sucks
Yes, it does. But to mention it in the last chapter, without mentioning the fact that war itself is deeply human, part of our nature, may not be deeply informative. I was lucky enough to read "War" from David Livingstone Smith to totally or partially comprehend it.
- He used a couple of times the word "mansplaining", which according to evolutionary psychologist Gad Saad is something really, really subjective and stupid.
- Pinker loves David Hume
Overall, the objective of the book is clear, the pandemic really shattered societies and let us clearly perceive how stupid societies have become. We are indeed primates that understand the universe, and as primates (order: Primates) we are mammals with a social media profile and a smartphone. So, OF COURSE we are right on the track to comment, share and like stupidity. Now, it is the rule. The stupider you are, the more influencer you become, thus famous. That's why Gad Saad and many others are fighting against parasitic ideologies, and this is the part where the contributions of the author's take place: mechanisms to identify fails in logic (fallacies) and biases.
We are doomed to eternal idioticy if we do not exercise our right to execute free speech and shut up stupidity.
July 1, 2022
След ”Мисленето” на Канеман (и Тверски), която беше доста интуитивна, макар и леко поудължена повече от необходимото, тази първа среща с Пинкър не ме изпълни с просветляващите ефекти на назованите от Канеман и Тверски наши мисловни Система 1 (бърза и често погрешна) и Система 2 (бавна, дълбочинна, но крайно изтощаваща).
Пинкър директно реферира към Канеман, и направо го резюмира и преповтаря на доста места. Следват някои интересни теории, подкрепени с логически и статистически модели, които в един идеален свят и в един идеален ум ще усилят умението за трезва и истинна преценка. Най-интересни ми бяха правилната интерпретация и свързаните изчисления на вероятностите и случайностите, както и бейсианският подход към оценката на дадена хипотеза като правдоподобна - в пряка зависимост от нейната надеждност и от наличието на солидни и представителни данни в нейна подкрепа. Едно интуитивно или контраинтуитивно изчисление, дори не винаги да доведе до правилен резултат, най-малкото приучва на търпение и хладнокръвие. А ако приложеният алгоритъм е правилният, можем да най-сетне да зърнем коя страна на зара на айнщайновия бог се е завъртяла към нас.
Недостатъците при Пинкър са няколко:
1. Той също се подхлъзва предимно да описва видовете ирационалности и често срещани “бъгове”.
2. Терминология, която не винаги е много ясна, макар латинските корени на думите да са достатъчно насочващи. Може и преводачът да има пръст тук, някои определено звучаха много странно - например “евиденциална интерпретация”. Да, ясно, базирано на доказателства, но не може ли на български или ��оне в бележка под линия?
3. В някои моменти има ненужни повторения и лични отклонения, в други пък липсват достатъчно пояснения. И, странно за човек с хуманитарен профил - липсваха ми формулите на места. Един тлъст параграф от пет реда не винаги може да ги замести. Направо си беше учебникарско. Не в лошия смисъл - това трябва да се изучава от учениците.
Пинкър се старае да е достъпен и забавен, както и доста политкоректен. (Извинява се, че не включил в изследване интерсексуалните деца. Какво, да му се не види, е това?!)
Като цяло, рационалността е вечна битка с предразсъдъци, заблуди, склонност към търсене на потвърждение, невежество и интелектуален мързел. Но Пинкър е оптимист - рационалността все пак е в гените ни, проявява се най-бързо в мигове на опасност, и се изисква не чак толкова голямо усилие, за да се прилага и в по-неекстремно ежедневие.
Пинкър директно реферира към Канеман, и направо го резюмира и преповтаря на доста места. Следват някои интересни теории, подкрепени с логически и статистически модели, които в един идеален свят и в един идеален ум ще усилят умението за трезва и истинна преценка. Най-интересни ми бяха правилната интерпретация и свързаните изчисления на вероятностите и случайностите, както и бейсианският подход към оценката на дадена хипотеза като правдоподобна - в пряка зависимост от нейната надеждност и от наличието на солидни и представителни данни в нейна подкрепа. Едно интуитивно или контраинтуитивно изчисление, дори не винаги да доведе до правилен резултат, най-малкото приучва на търпение и хладнокръвие. А ако приложеният алгоритъм е правилният, можем да най-сетне да зърнем коя страна на зара на айнщайновия бог се е завъртяла към нас.
Недостатъците при Пинкър са няколко:
1. Той също се подхлъзва предимно да описва видовете ирационалности и често срещани “бъгове”.
2. Терминология, която не винаги е много ясна, макар латинските корени на думите да са достатъчно насочващи. Може и преводачът да има пръст тук, някои определено звучаха много странно - например “евиденциална интерпретация”. Да, ясно, базирано на доказателства, но не може ли на български или ��оне в бележка под линия?
3. В някои моменти има ненужни повторения и лични отклонения, в други пък липсват достатъчно пояснения. И, странно за човек с хуманитарен профил - липсваха ми формулите на места. Един тлъст параграф от пет реда не винаги може да ги замести. Направо си беше учебникарско. Не в лошия смисъл - това трябва да се изучава от учениците.
Пинкър се старае да е достъпен и забавен, както и доста политкоректен. (Извинява се, че не включил в изследване интерсексуалните деца. Какво, да му се не види, е това?!)
Като цяло, рационалността е вечна битка с предразсъдъци, заблуди, склонност към търсене на потвърждение, невежество и интелектуален мързел. Но Пинкър е оптимист - рационалността все пак е в гените ни, проявява се най-бързо в мигове на опасност, и се изисква не чак толкова голямо усилие, за да се прилага и в по-неекстремно ежедневие.
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October 29, 2023Само искам да изрева срещу превода на книгата, благодарение на който не я прочетох. Да, преводът е просто ужасен. И това не е (изцяло) по вина на преводача, който, убеден съм, знае добре английски, а по-скоро по вина на редактора и издателя, които си позволяват да пускат на пазара книга, която не е написана на български.
Да, за да превеждаш ОТ който и да е език, трябва най-вече да знаеш езика, НА който превеждаш, особено пък ако той ти е роден. И за съжаление много от хората, които минават за преводачи, особено на научна и научно-популярна литература, очевидно не знаят български ... или просто не си правят труда да го използват, защото им е трудно.
Пример за това са словореда, идиомите и особено "българизирането" на английски думи, които правят един текст на български изключително тромав и тегав за четене.
Относно словореда няма какво толкова да се каже, освен че е резултат на прост мързел и превеждане дума по дума. Различните езици подреждат различните смислови части на изречението в различен ред. И когато чета изречение на български, тъпо е да мога да позная от какъв език е преведено то, само по подредбата на думите.
Идиомите пък още повече. В челото ме удари следното изречение в началото на книгата: "От друга страна, в мното случаи, зад човешката лудост се крие метод.". Какво по-дяволите трябва да означава това, за човек незапознат със значението на английския идиом method in madness?!? Нима е толкова трудно да се каже, че "за всичко това си има причина?"
Положението с българизирането на английски думи, вместо да се помисли 5 секунди за вече съществуващи и напълно подходящи български такива пък отдавна е трагично. Всеки "aкадемик" от хуманитарните дисциплини, който поназнайва малко английски и иска да се изкара много умен, "заема" думи от английски, за да изглеждат писанията му пълни с термини. Така вместо "мисловен" или "умствен" получаваме "когнитивен" (и не ми казвайте, че "е от латински", щото тия хора латински не са помирисвали).
По метода на "не ми се занимава да търся българските думи" пък преводачът построява монументалния езиков апотеоз, който е изразът "каузалната текстура на средата". Causal означава причинно-следствен, а texture в случая е структура или просто същност. Но къде ти да стигне човек по-далеч от първия резултат на google translate, ако ще и да му плащат за това.
Като чета по-стари книги, се удивлявам на цветистия български език, който преводачите използват. За да сме честни, трябва да кажа, че и книгите на английски отпреди няколко десетилетия използват по-цветист език от сега, определено го има опростяването (да не кажа опростачване) на езика.
Все още има български преводачи, които могат да пишат - щото за да си добър преводач трябва да си и поне сносен писател (това особено ясно се вижда в поезията - няма как да превеждаш поезия, без да си добър поет). Тия преводачи обаче почти изключително превеждат художествена литература, докато научно-популярната се дава на разни момченца с гугал транслейт.
Както и да е, исках просто да мърморя за превода, не за книгата. Не съм я чел, но Пинкър е съвсем приятно четим на английски (както всъщност е и младият Докинс, също окепазен при превода.
Да, за да превеждаш ОТ който и да е език, трябва най-вече да знаеш езика, НА който превеждаш, особено пък ако той ти е роден. И за съжаление много от хората, които минават за преводачи, особено на научна и научно-популярна литература, очевидно не знаят български ... или просто не си правят труда да го използват, защото им е трудно.
Пример за това са словореда, идиомите и особено "българизирането" на английски думи, които правят един текст на български изключително тромав и тегав за четене.
Относно словореда няма какво толкова да се каже, освен че е резултат на прост мързел и превеждане дума по дума. Различните езици подреждат различните смислови части на изречението в различен ред. И когато чета изречение на български, тъпо е да мога да позная от какъв език е преведено то, само по подредбата на думите.
Идиомите пък още повече. В челото ме удари следното изречение в началото на книгата: "От друга страна, в мното случаи, зад човешката лудост се крие метод.". Какво по-дяволите трябва да означава това, за човек незапознат със значението на английския идиом method in madness?!? Нима е толкова трудно да се каже, че "за всичко това си има причина?"
Положението с българизирането на английски думи, вместо да се помисли 5 секунди за вече съществуващи и напълно подходящи български такива пък отдавна е трагично. Всеки "aкадемик" от хуманитарните дисциплини, който поназнайва малко английски и иска да се изкара много умен, "заема" думи от английски, за да изглеждат писанията му пълни с термини. Така вместо "мисловен" или "умствен" получаваме "когнитивен" (и не ми казвайте, че "е от латински", щото тия хора латински не са помирисвали).
По метода на "не ми се занимава да търся българските думи" пък преводачът построява монументалния езиков апотеоз, който е изразът "каузалната текстура на средата". Causal означава причинно-следствен, а texture в случая е структура или просто същност. Но къде ти да стигне човек по-далеч от първия резултат на google translate, ако ще и да му плащат за това.
Като чета по-стари книги, се удивлявам на цветистия български език, който преводачите използват. За да сме честни, трябва да кажа, че и книгите на английски отпреди няколко десетилетия използват по-цветист език от сега, определено го има опростяването (да не кажа опростачване) на езика.
Все още има български преводачи, които могат да пишат - щото за да си добър преводач трябва да си и поне сносен писател (това особено ясно се вижда в поезията - няма как да превеждаш поезия, без да си добър поет). Тия преводачи обаче почти изключително превеждат художествена литература, докато научно-популярната се дава на разни момченца с гугал транслейт.
Както и да е, исках просто да мърморя за превода, не за книгата. Не съм я чел, но Пинкър е съвсем приятно четим на английски (както всъщност е и младият Докинс, също окепазен при превода.
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December 21, 2022I agree with many things in this book. However, I disagree with some of Pinker's basic principles and a few of his specific statements. For example, Pinker follows Hume and other moderns in arguing that reason/rationality applies to means, not ends. Ends are, according to Hume and Pinker, postulated by our emotions, our desires, our feelings. If so, then Hitler was rational to the extent that his war machine was rationally designed to achieve his end of world conquest and tyranny. He was irrational when he made emotional decisions about his war machine that were not conducive to his ends. Pinker acknowledges an exception when our ends are in conflict with each other. Then, somehow, we must use reason to adjudicate among our conflicting ends. He does not discuss how reason is involved when a person's conflicting ends are all unethical. (See Rationality, 45–56, 70, 175, and 329, Kindle edition.)
At the end of the book, however, Pinker apparently advocates, if only implicitly, the importance of reason as part of the conception of good ends.
In contrast to the modern consensus, Plato showed how Socrates used rational dialectic to identify proper ends (Republic, especially Book I). Similarly, Aristotle held that correct reasoning should be applied both to the ascertainment of ends and to the formulation of means (Nicomachean Ethics 6.1.1138b18–35, 6.2.1139a21–27, 6.5.1140b5–7, 6.13.1144b1–1145a11; see also Daniel C. Russell, Practical Intelligence and the Virtues [Oxford: Clarendon, 2009], part 1). I agree with Plato, Aristotle, and Russell on this issue.
Pinker also argues that rationality requires, among other things, “mastery of cognitive tools like formal logic and mathematical probability” (Rationality, 324). He thereby implicitly consigns the majority of the human species to irrationality. In contrast, I think it is possible for people even without such mathematical and quasi-mathematical (symbolic notation) training to be rational about both ends and means. This is what I understand to be the thought behind the movement for informal logic and critical thinking. The discipline of “formal logic” involves abstract (symbolic) philosophical, mathematical, computational, or linguistic propositions that ignore questions about correct reasoning in ordinary human decisions and actions, whereas “informal logic” and “critical thinking” address the actual content of human thought and communication.
I elaborate my own views on these matters in my book Reason and Human Ethics.
(edited December 21, 2022)
At the end of the book, however, Pinker apparently advocates, if only implicitly, the importance of reason as part of the conception of good ends.
In contrast to the modern consensus, Plato showed how Socrates used rational dialectic to identify proper ends (Republic, especially Book I). Similarly, Aristotle held that correct reasoning should be applied both to the ascertainment of ends and to the formulation of means (Nicomachean Ethics 6.1.1138b18–35, 6.2.1139a21–27, 6.5.1140b5–7, 6.13.1144b1–1145a11; see also Daniel C. Russell, Practical Intelligence and the Virtues [Oxford: Clarendon, 2009], part 1). I agree with Plato, Aristotle, and Russell on this issue.
Pinker also argues that rationality requires, among other things, “mastery of cognitive tools like formal logic and mathematical probability” (Rationality, 324). He thereby implicitly consigns the majority of the human species to irrationality. In contrast, I think it is possible for people even without such mathematical and quasi-mathematical (symbolic notation) training to be rational about both ends and means. This is what I understand to be the thought behind the movement for informal logic and critical thinking. The discipline of “formal logic” involves abstract (symbolic) philosophical, mathematical, computational, or linguistic propositions that ignore questions about correct reasoning in ordinary human decisions and actions, whereas “informal logic” and “critical thinking” address the actual content of human thought and communication.
I elaborate my own views on these matters in my book Reason and Human Ethics.
(edited December 21, 2022)
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August 29, 2021Wouldn’t have read it if i hadn’t received it for free, and it wasn’t pre publication.
If i disagree with this book its because of its aesthetic, or lack thereof. Ugly book.
It also violates my taboo against reality mathematics, and in particular morality mathematics.
I does provide a workout though, and throws into focus the failing of my mind. I failed the nearly all of the logic problems.
If i disagree with this book its because of its aesthetic, or lack thereof. Ugly book.
It also violates my taboo against reality mathematics, and in particular morality mathematics.
I does provide a workout though, and throws into focus the failing of my mind. I failed the nearly all of the logic problems.
October 17, 2021
I haven't read any of Pinker's other books. Don't think I'll be seeking them out after this one.
If arguing on the internet is your jam then this is a book for you. Most of the book is Pinker explaining what cognitive biases are and how we should be thinking about probabilities and data, and it oscillates between an overly complex Wikipedia article and a dull lecture.
He sprinkles in some poorly reasoned (or not reasoned) analysis of:
Why deplatforming people is bad
A bad faith connection between the death of George Floyd and the existence of Critical Race Theory
How young people don't save for retirement because of an inability to delay gratification
Why higher insurance rates for minorities us simply due to statistical analysis
And a couple of oblique Jordan Peterson references.
Perhaps the target audience for this is Reddit trolls, in which case, go for it, I guess. But the best stuff here is better written elsewhere (Thinking Fast and Slow, for one).
I skipped a chunk of math in the second half so maybe there was some redemption there, but overall I didn't find anything of value here. It ends with an appeal to reason, but if you've read this far, it's preaching to the choir.
If arguing on the internet is your jam then this is a book for you. Most of the book is Pinker explaining what cognitive biases are and how we should be thinking about probabilities and data, and it oscillates between an overly complex Wikipedia article and a dull lecture.
He sprinkles in some poorly reasoned (or not reasoned) analysis of:
Why deplatforming people is bad
A bad faith connection between the death of George Floyd and the existence of Critical Race Theory
How young people don't save for retirement because of an inability to delay gratification
Why higher insurance rates for minorities us simply due to statistical analysis
And a couple of oblique Jordan Peterson references.
Perhaps the target audience for this is Reddit trolls, in which case, go for it, I guess. But the best stuff here is better written elsewhere (Thinking Fast and Slow, for one).
I skipped a chunk of math in the second half so maybe there was some redemption there, but overall I didn't find anything of value here. It ends with an appeal to reason, but if you've read this far, it's preaching to the choir.
August 25, 2021
Honestly, some of this was a little over my head, ha. But I liked a lot of what he had to say, and I kept saving quotable bits.
"Three quarters of Americans believe in at least one phenomenon that defies the laws of science, including psychic healing (55 percent), extrasensory perception (41 percent), haunted houses (37 percent), and ghosts (32 percent)— which also means that some people believe in houses haunted by ghosts without believing in ghosts."
"And a special place in Journalist Hell is reserved for the scribes who in 2021, during the rollout of
Covid vaccines known to have a 95 percent efficacy rate, wrote stories on the vaccinated people who came down with the disease— by definition not news (since it was always certain there would be some) and guaranteed to scare thousands from this lifesaving treatment."
Full review coming for Shelf Awareness.
"Three quarters of Americans believe in at least one phenomenon that defies the laws of science, including psychic healing (55 percent), extrasensory perception (41 percent), haunted houses (37 percent), and ghosts (32 percent)— which also means that some people believe in houses haunted by ghosts without believing in ghosts."
"And a special place in Journalist Hell is reserved for the scribes who in 2021, during the rollout of
Covid vaccines known to have a 95 percent efficacy rate, wrote stories on the vaccinated people who came down with the disease— by definition not news (since it was always certain there would be some) and guaranteed to scare thousands from this lifesaving treatment."
Full review coming for Shelf Awareness.
December 18, 2021
Brilliant! Very well structured, which is not easy for a book on rationality. Very well researched, great resources cited. Very highly recommended!
October 16, 2021
This book can be tough going. Pinker condenses into just a few hundred pages what would surely be a full 3-credit Logic course at a university. It gets a little hard to follow. But there's a payoff.
I think of myself as very rational. But I fell for the fallacious answer to several of the questions that Pinker poses. Here's an example. On the game show Let's Make a Deal, let's say you chose Door #1. If the host reveals that the big prize is NOT behind Door #3, should you change your choice to Door #2? I'd have said no, the chance that the big prize is behind Door #2 versus Door #1 are now 50-50. You probably think the same. Long story short, we are wrong. I still don't quite understand why. Some of the other logical fallacies are easier to understand, but, altogether, it is a tough book. My brain was working so hard that one night I had trouble falling asleep after reading.
But the cumulative effect is to help the reader to be a more critical thinker. For example, I've always heard that correlation is not the same as causation, but I will now be much more alert to correlation fallacies.
In one chapter, I think Pinker did his readers a disservice. He claims that 90% of breast cancer diagnoses are false positives. First, he uses the assumption that only 1% of women will get breast cancer, which I believe is wildly incorrect. Second, he explains his reasoning abstractly, without reference to the specific breast cancer example. So it was really hard to follow, and hard for me to determine how much impact his use of the 1% figure had on his conclusion that 90% of diagnoses are false positives. Also, he doesn't define what he considers a "diagnosis." Is it a suspicious mammogram? A biopsy result? A pathology test after surgery? And what is the difference between a "diagnosis", and his claim that only 1% are true positives? As a breast cancer survivor, it seemed sloppy to me.
Overall, though, I felt that the book was worth reading. I especially appreciated the last few chapters. In Chapter 10, he talks about why people seem so irrational at times. Short version, emotion overrides rational thinking. The obvious rational conclusion might not be to your liking (motivated reasoning) or might not confirm what you and your friends believe (myside bias). Or it might contradict a mythology (e.g., religion) that is central to your understanding of the universe. In the case of conspiracy theories, people are susceptible because it happens to be true that sometimes there really ARE conspiracies. And honestly it's sometimes just easier to believe whatever grabs your attention, compared to thinking it through.
In Chapter 11, Pinker makes an impassioned and well-argued case for how rationality has improved lives.
And, bottom line, rationality is the only tool we have to convince each other when we disagree. The alternative is force of some kind. If we hope to keep our democracy, we must respect rationality.
Like my reviews? Check out my blog at http://www.kathrynbashaar.com/blog/
Author of The Saints Mistress https://camcatbooks.com/Books/T/The-S...
Overall, though, this book was worth the hard thinking.
I think of myself as very rational. But I fell for the fallacious answer to several of the questions that Pinker poses. Here's an example. On the game show Let's Make a Deal, let's say you chose Door #1. If the host reveals that the big prize is NOT behind Door #3, should you change your choice to Door #2? I'd have said no, the chance that the big prize is behind Door #2 versus Door #1 are now 50-50. You probably think the same. Long story short, we are wrong. I still don't quite understand why. Some of the other logical fallacies are easier to understand, but, altogether, it is a tough book. My brain was working so hard that one night I had trouble falling asleep after reading.
But the cumulative effect is to help the reader to be a more critical thinker. For example, I've always heard that correlation is not the same as causation, but I will now be much more alert to correlation fallacies.
In one chapter, I think Pinker did his readers a disservice. He claims that 90% of breast cancer diagnoses are false positives. First, he uses the assumption that only 1% of women will get breast cancer, which I believe is wildly incorrect. Second, he explains his reasoning abstractly, without reference to the specific breast cancer example. So it was really hard to follow, and hard for me to determine how much impact his use of the 1% figure had on his conclusion that 90% of diagnoses are false positives. Also, he doesn't define what he considers a "diagnosis." Is it a suspicious mammogram? A biopsy result? A pathology test after surgery? And what is the difference between a "diagnosis", and his claim that only 1% are true positives? As a breast cancer survivor, it seemed sloppy to me.
Overall, though, I felt that the book was worth reading. I especially appreciated the last few chapters. In Chapter 10, he talks about why people seem so irrational at times. Short version, emotion overrides rational thinking. The obvious rational conclusion might not be to your liking (motivated reasoning) or might not confirm what you and your friends believe (myside bias). Or it might contradict a mythology (e.g., religion) that is central to your understanding of the universe. In the case of conspiracy theories, people are susceptible because it happens to be true that sometimes there really ARE conspiracies. And honestly it's sometimes just easier to believe whatever grabs your attention, compared to thinking it through.
In Chapter 11, Pinker makes an impassioned and well-argued case for how rationality has improved lives.
And, bottom line, rationality is the only tool we have to convince each other when we disagree. The alternative is force of some kind. If we hope to keep our democracy, we must respect rationality.
Like my reviews? Check out my blog at http://www.kathrynbashaar.com/blog/
Author of The Saints Mistress https://camcatbooks.com/Books/T/The-S...
Overall, though, this book was worth the hard thinking.
October 31, 2021
The message of this book is important and timely and I am wholly in agreement with its arguments and analyses. However, I did find it a bit of a slog.
Pinker argues clearly and passionately that rationality and reason are vital and that their current abandonment by a worrying number of people is dangerous. He looks at the role of rationality and the essential part it plays in maintaining a civilised society and also attempts to analyse why some people reject it in favour of irrationality, conspiracy theories, evidence-free fantasies and so on. This includes some good analysis of why scientific data can be messy and a clear explanation o why that doesn’t mean that it can simply be ignored.
All of this is commendable but I had some reservations. Firstly, although Pinker has a reputation for brilliant, readable writing, I found the prose quite hard going in places. It is dense, unalleviated by much in the way of light relief and burdened by his tendency to use obscure words where ordinary ones will do just as well – “patrimony,” for example where “inheritance” would make at least as much sense and make for a far easier read.
Secondly, I wasn’t really sure that Pinker was saying much that was new. The book, he explains, grew out of a course he taught and that makes it, for me, a restatement of pretty well rehearsed arguments and ideas. Important, certainly, and a useful restatement of arguments but not all that stimulating.
And thirdly, I kept getting a strong feeling that he is preaching to the converted. This is a book aimed at and surely read by those who, like me, already believe strongly in rationality. It may strengthen our stance, but will it change what really needs to be changed?
I don’t want to be too harsh; this is a good, important book. However, for me Robin Ince’s recent, very enjoyable and equally important book The Importance Of Being Interested said much the same thing in a far more readable and witty way, which may do a better job of reaching the people it needs to.
Pinker argues clearly and passionately that rationality and reason are vital and that their current abandonment by a worrying number of people is dangerous. He looks at the role of rationality and the essential part it plays in maintaining a civilised society and also attempts to analyse why some people reject it in favour of irrationality, conspiracy theories, evidence-free fantasies and so on. This includes some good analysis of why scientific data can be messy and a clear explanation o why that doesn’t mean that it can simply be ignored.
All of this is commendable but I had some reservations. Firstly, although Pinker has a reputation for brilliant, readable writing, I found the prose quite hard going in places. It is dense, unalleviated by much in the way of light relief and burdened by his tendency to use obscure words where ordinary ones will do just as well – “patrimony,” for example where “inheritance” would make at least as much sense and make for a far easier read.
Secondly, I wasn’t really sure that Pinker was saying much that was new. The book, he explains, grew out of a course he taught and that makes it, for me, a restatement of pretty well rehearsed arguments and ideas. Important, certainly, and a useful restatement of arguments but not all that stimulating.
And thirdly, I kept getting a strong feeling that he is preaching to the converted. This is a book aimed at and surely read by those who, like me, already believe strongly in rationality. It may strengthen our stance, but will it change what really needs to be changed?
I don’t want to be too harsh; this is a good, important book. However, for me Robin Ince’s recent, very enjoyable and equally important book The Importance Of Being Interested said much the same thing in a far more readable and witty way, which may do a better job of reaching the people it needs to.
October 16, 2021
There's nothing new here for anyone who has a basic knowledge of logic, statistics, game theory and behavioral economics. Still, it's a good recap of basic concepts, and Mr. Pinker does a good job of describing current academic thinking about our departures from rationality and why things that seem like departures may really only be issues of context and point of view that are not necessarily irrational at all. I generally agree with everything that is in this book, so why did I come away from it feeling that Mr. Pinker and I have a fundamental divergence of our points of view and wondering whether this may be the last Steven Pinker book that I will read?
I think perhaps that it is because I am deeply drawn to the irrational and spiritual. I am not religious or superstitious. I try to be as objective as possible in my evaluation of news and society and in my job. And yet I also feel that there is a fundamental human need for something that is trans-rational. Sometimes when things don't make sense that is the whole point of them, and they can only be understood by accepting their irrationality. Like a Zen koan. Or the Trinity. And things that defy rational analysis can have great beauty. However, Mr. Pinker seems to be mired in the Enlightenment. I have great admiration for Enlightenment thinking. David Hume, who is quoted several times with approval by Mr. Pinker, was very smart and was right far more often than he was wrong, plus he could write philosophy in a way that was much more readable than any of the great German philosophers. And the French Enlightenment also produced some very good ideas. But most of the world has gotten past all that. We need to leaven our rationality with compassion, and we need to re-enchant the world. Mr. Pinker for all of his smarts and good intentions seems to miss this point. He and I are on different tracks.
I think perhaps that it is because I am deeply drawn to the irrational and spiritual. I am not religious or superstitious. I try to be as objective as possible in my evaluation of news and society and in my job. And yet I also feel that there is a fundamental human need for something that is trans-rational. Sometimes when things don't make sense that is the whole point of them, and they can only be understood by accepting their irrationality. Like a Zen koan. Or the Trinity. And things that defy rational analysis can have great beauty. However, Mr. Pinker seems to be mired in the Enlightenment. I have great admiration for Enlightenment thinking. David Hume, who is quoted several times with approval by Mr. Pinker, was very smart and was right far more often than he was wrong, plus he could write philosophy in a way that was much more readable than any of the great German philosophers. And the French Enlightenment also produced some very good ideas. But most of the world has gotten past all that. We need to leaven our rationality with compassion, and we need to re-enchant the world. Mr. Pinker for all of his smarts and good intentions seems to miss this point. He and I are on different tracks.
December 17, 2022
Settled on three stars for this one but I must say: it is the most engaged I have ever been with a three star book. Pinker basically spends 300 pages explaining all the ways we are irrational as a species, mostly through the lens of behavioral economics. At times I didn’t appreciate the way he explained certain topics that I spent weeks of graduate school reading papers on, but all in all, he covers a ton of ground with what I thought was a pretty high level of accuracy (for what I know) and entertainment value.
Pinker then pivots to the last question of his books subtitle: “why it matters”… why should we be rational? Or as he should have put it: “why it **ultimately** matters”. I do agree that we are largely irrational as a society and an increased emphasis on rationality is deeply needed. However, I think Pinker took this to an extreme that I am uncomfortable with, and he did so from the omniscient and irrefutable pedestal of One of the Rational Ones among us, which struck me as pretentious.
To take one example of how he explained we might apply rationality, he described how the sunk cost fallacy might tempt us into staying too long in an unhappy marriage, to which I reply: what if values other than rationality should inform how we handle matters such as marriage. Sure, a member of the “rationality community” might respond “other values can be contained within rationality”, meaning: if you believe that, then the rational thing to do is to stay in the marriage. Well aside from the fact that such a argument could be made of any other value (ie. Love could be your chief value and if rationality is merited, love will lead you to act rationally), there is the fact that such an argument wouldn’t actually WORK when embraced by a true trial such as marital strife. Imagine being in marriage counseling and saying: I’m not happy, but I’ve determined that the rational thing to do is to stay with you so I will.
Ultimately this was a good book. The first seven chapters are a great course in logic, rationality, behavioral economics and even utility theory. I just left the book with a bad taste in my mouth because (as I knew going in), Pinker and I don’t see eye to eye on basic human nature. Sorry if that makes me ~irrational~ (though I think I could provide a ~rational~ argument that it does not)
Pinker then pivots to the last question of his books subtitle: “why it matters”… why should we be rational? Or as he should have put it: “why it **ultimately** matters”. I do agree that we are largely irrational as a society and an increased emphasis on rationality is deeply needed. However, I think Pinker took this to an extreme that I am uncomfortable with, and he did so from the omniscient and irrefutable pedestal of One of the Rational Ones among us, which struck me as pretentious.
To take one example of how he explained we might apply rationality, he described how the sunk cost fallacy might tempt us into staying too long in an unhappy marriage, to which I reply: what if values other than rationality should inform how we handle matters such as marriage. Sure, a member of the “rationality community” might respond “other values can be contained within rationality”, meaning: if you believe that, then the rational thing to do is to stay in the marriage. Well aside from the fact that such a argument could be made of any other value (ie. Love could be your chief value and if rationality is merited, love will lead you to act rationally), there is the fact that such an argument wouldn’t actually WORK when embraced by a true trial such as marital strife. Imagine being in marriage counseling and saying: I’m not happy, but I’ve determined that the rational thing to do is to stay with you so I will.
Ultimately this was a good book. The first seven chapters are a great course in logic, rationality, behavioral economics and even utility theory. I just left the book with a bad taste in my mouth because (as I knew going in), Pinker and I don’t see eye to eye on basic human nature. Sorry if that makes me ~irrational~ (though I think I could provide a ~rational~ argument that it does not)
September 28, 2021
Down the rabbit hole I went again. We live in a world where we highly prioritize being rational. But why? And how can we define someone as rational? What is Irrational? By doing this aren't we dividing the world in black and white instead of seeing it as grey?
"We should not be surprised that what people take away from science education is a syncretic mishmash, where gravity and electromagnetism coexist with psi, qi, karma, and crystal healing."
There's been a huge rise in behavioral economics in the last two decades, although it points out the Irrational things we do, the reason why we do it wasn't that satisfactory and was mostly based on experiments. Steven Pinker approach here is from a cognitive psychologist perspective and the explanations he gives are really interesting to read. There are entire chapters dedicated to simple topics such as probability, causality, statistics, correlation etc, which gives an in-depth study of these basic topics. Stuff of thought really.
This book is very well structured, read it in the given order and it'll all make sense in the end. My favourite chapter from this book has to be chapter number 10, what's wrong with people? This chapter is like a conclusion of all the things that he told in previous chapters and with real life examples. The last chapter why rationality matters, felt more like a part of enlightenment now (another great book by him) instead of this one.
To all people who are planning to read this book, I'll highly recommend to read some books on behavioural economics and psychology before picking this one. This book is densely packed with knowledge, going without prior knowledge on behavioural economics and psychology will make this book very hard to understand and this is the only criticism I've for this book.
If behavioural economics and psychology interests you, this is the most up-to-date book to read.
"We should not be surprised that what people take away from science education is a syncretic mishmash, where gravity and electromagnetism coexist with psi, qi, karma, and crystal healing."
There's been a huge rise in behavioral economics in the last two decades, although it points out the Irrational things we do, the reason why we do it wasn't that satisfactory and was mostly based on experiments. Steven Pinker approach here is from a cognitive psychologist perspective and the explanations he gives are really interesting to read. There are entire chapters dedicated to simple topics such as probability, causality, statistics, correlation etc, which gives an in-depth study of these basic topics. Stuff of thought really.
This book is very well structured, read it in the given order and it'll all make sense in the end. My favourite chapter from this book has to be chapter number 10, what's wrong with people? This chapter is like a conclusion of all the things that he told in previous chapters and with real life examples. The last chapter why rationality matters, felt more like a part of enlightenment now (another great book by him) instead of this one.
To all people who are planning to read this book, I'll highly recommend to read some books on behavioural economics and psychology before picking this one. This book is densely packed with knowledge, going without prior knowledge on behavioural economics and psychology will make this book very hard to understand and this is the only criticism I've for this book.
If behavioural economics and psychology interests you, this is the most up-to-date book to read.
August 11, 2022
I am beyond "happy" to say that I finished this book after struggling so much. If you're thinking to buy this book because you want to be more rational in your life, please DON'T. If you're interested in different theories behind rationality, i.e. game theory and randomness, maybe you should try a few pages before buying. Honestly, this is like a textbook for courses in the university, and it is not fun at all. Do I learn anything? Yes, but in a painful process.
中文版 [理性：人類最有效的認知工具，讓我們做出更好的選擇，採取更正確的行動]
這大概是我今年度目前看過最痛苦的一本書，因為行文很像教科書口吻，說句實話，我真的掙扎了很久才看完。如果你以為看完這本書後，你會變得更理性，我真的覺得不會。如果你真的對理性背後的科學有興趣，我也建議你試讀一下再下手。其實我真的有學到東西，只是痛苦的過程和收穫不成比例。
中文版 [理性：人類最有效的認知工具，讓我們做出更好的選擇，採取更正確的行動]
這大概是我今年度目前看過最痛苦的一本書，因為行文很像教科書口吻，說句實話，我真的掙扎了很久才看完。如果你以為看完這本書後，你會變得更理性，我真的覺得不會。如果你真的對理性背後的科學有興趣，我也建議你試讀一下再下手。其實我真的有學到東西，只是痛苦的過程和收穫不成比例。
August 26, 2023
Steven Pinker hat ein besonderes Talent, wie man kognitive Verzerrungen nimmt und diese im Alltag anwendet, um menschlich rational zu sein.
Rationalität und Vernunft wird teilweise von bestimmten Bevölkerungsgruppen pauschal dementiert, wenn diese eben nicht in ihr Weltbild passen. Doch wenn wir uns alle über diese Verzerrungen bewusst wären, dann würde es kaum Räume für Verschwörungstheorien und menschlich verachtende Ideologien geben.
Dieses Buch deckt alle gängigen psychologischen Fallen ab und macht Mut für vernünftiges Denken.
Rationalität und Vernunft wird teilweise von bestimmten Bevölkerungsgruppen pauschal dementiert, wenn diese eben nicht in ihr Weltbild passen. Doch wenn wir uns alle über diese Verzerrungen bewusst wären, dann würde es kaum Räume für Verschwörungstheorien und menschlich verachtende Ideologien geben.
Dieses Buch deckt alle gängigen psychologischen Fallen ab und macht Mut für vernünftiges Denken.
November 7, 2021
3.5 stars I guess. I really loved Pinker’s earlier books about linguistics and psychology. There’s certainly some good stuff in this book, but I don’t think he covered the topic all that well. There were reminders of his good sense of humor and his good writing, but not so much. I’m happy that he uses interesting words, but he may have gone a little overboard in using obscure terminology.
December 9, 2021
Good and modern recap of the basics
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