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Lionel Messi, Inter Miami flop out of MLS playoffs, stunned by Atlanta

Lionel Messi’s first MLS playoffs began with momentum and mammoth expectations. They ended Saturday with a stunning upset and a GOAT’s whimper.

Messi and Inter Miami, the history-making top seed, crashed out in the first round with a second consecutive loss to Atlanta United β€” who barely snuck into the playoffs with a losing record and negative goal differential.

Messi, who’d been silent in a Game 2 loss, got his first playoff goal to level this decisive Game 3 at 2-2. But Atlanta responded; Bartosz Slisz snatched the lead back with a 76th-minute header; and the visitors sent shockwaves through American soccer with a 3-2 upset.

Miami entered these playoffs as the clearest favorite in MLS history. They waltzed to a victory in Game 1 of a three-game series, and seemed certain to advance. All they had to do was win one of two against an Atlanta team that had triumphed in less than a third of its regular-season matches β€” only 10 of 34.

But then, in Game 2, the Herons coughed up a lead in Atlanta.

Their 2-1 loss set up a β€œdo-or-die” Game 3, Messi’s first in MLS.

Or, at least, that’s how English speakers described it. In Spanish, there’s a similar but different phrase. β€œEs un partido de matar o morir,” Inter Miami midfielder Federico Redondo said this week. Not β€œdo-or-die,” but rather β€œkill-or-be-killed.”

And, in a staggering Saturday twist, it was Atlanta who did the killing.

The No. 9 seed, who won a play-in game on penalties, weathered an early Miami storm at Chase Stadium. Then, immediately after an early MatΓ­as Rojas goal, Atlanta’s Jamal ThiarΓ© punished some lax Inter defending. He scored twice in three minutes, and the underdogs carried a 2-1 lead into halftime.

In the second half, Messi rose to meet the moment β€” temporarily.

But Atlanta answered.

And at the other end of the field, goalkeeper Brad Guzan, at age 40, made some heroic saves. He clawed away a close-range Jordi Alba header. He frustrated Luis Suarez and Messi. He made seven stops in total. He was, without a doubt, the man of the match and of the series.

Messi and friends were constant threats, but not the inexorable force they'd been at times in the GOAT's first full MLS season. Suarez dove in search of a penalty but got no call. Messi smashed two free kicks into Atlanta walls. His shoulders seemed to slump in frustration.

At the final whistle, with a blank stare, he trudged down a tunnel.

Guzan and defenders chest-bumped in celebration.

And Miami’s title hopes died.

Their loss opens up an already-gaping Eastern Conference, which said goodbye to the No. 2 seed Columbus Crew last weekend and the No. 3 seed FC Cincinnati earlier Saturday.

It's also a massive loss for MLS, whose playoffs lose significant luster, and whose leaders have utterly failed thus far to capitalize on Messi's presence.

It doesn’t invalidate Miami's 74 points, the best regular season in league history. β€œWe celebrated the achievement, because it was something difficult and important,” Messi said in a recent interview.

β€œBut,” he acknowledged, β€œwe are aware that the real title we want is the MLS [Cup].”

Now, he might have only one more year to chase it.

In many ways, Messi and Miami were victims of soccer's randomness. They created more chances and better chances in all three games. By one estimate, they accumulated 7.9 Expected Goals (xG) to Atlanta's 3.84 throughout the series. And if you double up an opponent's xG β€” especially if you employ two of greatest goal-scorers ever β€” more often than not, you are going to win. In fact, with Messi on the field, Miami didn't lose a single game like this throughout the regular season.

They lost Saturday largely because they ran into a bald brick wall β€” Guzan.

β€œTheir goalkeeper was spectacular. That was the difference in the series. He saved everything and more. We did a lot of good things, but also many things very poorly."

This was not about managerial malpractice. It was not an epic Messi choke. It was, mostly, a fluke.

At the same time, though, the Herons were haunted by a shortcoming that plagued them all season. They never found a solid center back pairing. And they never had the legs or the front-six structure to shield their leaky defense. So, again and again, they shipped goals.

On Saturday, they were particularly vulnerable without Sergio Busquets, who hadn't fully recovered from either a sickness or a minor injury. (After missing Game 2, he ultimately played 12-plus minutes in Game 3 off the bench.) They also suffered without Yannick Bright, a 23-year-old midfielder who'd established himself alongside Busquets, but who missed Game 3 due to injury.

But they made individual mistakes that had little to do with structure. Take, for example, the second goal, which began at the feet of Miami defender David Martinez. He played a late, loose forward pass, which was cut out around midfield. Then he didn't recover, and Atlanta exploited the very space he should've been covering.

This type of lapse was a feature of Miami's season. Openness was a function of building an attacking superteam around Messi. Although they won a record number of points, they were actually the fourth-worst defensive team in the Eastern Conference, per FBref xG tallies.

In the regular season, goalkeeper Drake Callender often rescued them.

Or, even more often, their porousness didn't matter because they had Suarez and Messi.

On Saturday, neither of those statements came true. And the most expensive, most popular team in MLS history is done.

LIVE COVERAGE IS OVER37 updates
  • FULL TIME: Inter Miami 2-3 Atlanta United

    Miami's dream season comes to an end after a thriller in Fort Lauderdale.

  • 90' SUBSTITUTION

  • 7 minutes of stoppage time added

  • 83' SUBSTITUTION

  • HIGHLIGHT: Slisz's go-ahead golazo

  • 77' SUBSTITUTIONS

  • 76' GOAL

    Bartosz Slisz follows up Messi's header with one of his own and Atlanta is back on top 2-3.

  • HIGHLIGHT: Messi's equalizer

  • 65' GOAL

    Guzan's mean streak ends with Messi getting in a header to even the score.

  • 60' SUBSTITUTION

  • 59' SUBSTITUTION

  • 52'

    Guzan continues to play the role of hero with another stunning save, this time against a Jordi Alba header that looked good until the 40-year-old Guzan somehow scooped it away at the last second.

  • Second half kicks off!

    Just 45 minutes left to play for a spot in the Easter Conference semifinals.

  • Atlanta leads, 2-1, at halftime

    This, obviously, would be a stunner.

    But "would" is still the key word. Miami trailed in a majority of their MLS games during the regular season. They still broke the points record.

    They'll surely create plenty of chances to equalize in the second half.

  • HIGHLIGHT: Guzan's massive save

  • 34'

    Guzan heroically denies Messi's shot into the lower-right corner. Incredible save to keep Atlanta in the lead.

  • HIGHLIGHT: Thiare puts the visitors on top

  • HIGHLIGHT: Atlanta's equalizer

  • HIGHLIGHTS: Miami goes up 1-0

  • 25' Goal disallowed

    Miami thought it had leveled the score, but Diego Gomez was offside before sending the ball into the net.

  • Miami's leaky defense...

    The second Atlanta goal was quite an embarrassing one for Inter defender David MartΓ­nez.

    He played a late, loose pass forward that was intercepted near midfield. Then he didn't recover. Atlanta played a ball into the space where he should've been, to the man he should've been covering. And a couple touches later, the ball was in the back of the net.

  • 21' GOAL

    Dax McCarty sends a pass down the middle and finds Aleksey Miranchuk, who quickly dished it to a Thiare for another goal. Incredible sequence of events has the visitors up 2-1!

  • 19' GOAL

    Atlanta quickly equalizes as Jamal Thiare puts the visitors on the board!

  • 17' GOAL

    Inter Miami's gets on the board first after Brad Guzan's deflection on a direct shot from Messi bounces toward Matias Rojas who sends his first touch toward the back of the net.

  • Orlando City survives the shootout and advances to the Eastern Conference semifinals. They'll face the winners of Inter Miami vs. Atlanta United.

  • Who will prevail in Saturday's must-win Game 3?

  • Match starts now!

    Meanwhile in Orlando, the Lions tied the game in stoppage time and have forced a penalty shootout.

  • Sergio Busquets' availability

    Busquets missed Game 2 in Atlanta. This week, he was initially ruled out for Game 3 as well. Then, hours later, he was ruled back in. Now ... he's on the bench, and expected to be available in the second half. We'll see how Miami does without him.

  • Atlanta United lineup

  • Inter Miami lineup

  • Inter Miami vs. Atlanta United match info

    Lionel Messi and Co. host Atlanta on Saturday in Fort Lauderdale in a must-win match. Both teams defended home turf and so it all comes down to Game 3 for a chance to advance to the conference semifinals. The winner will face the winner of Orlando City vs. Charlotte, which is currently in stoppage-time. Charlotte holds a 1-0 lead.