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2024 São Paulo mayoral election

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2024 São Paulo municipal election
← 2020 6 October 2024 (2024-10-06) (first round)
27 October 2024 (2024-10-27) (second round, if necessary)		 2028 →
Mayoral election
Opinion polls
 
Candidate Ricardo Nunes Guilherme Boulos Pablo Marçal
Party MDB PSOL PRTB
Alliance Safe Path to São Paulo Love for São Paulo No coalition
Running mate Coronel Mello Araújo Marta Suplicy Antônia de Jesus
Incumbent Mayor

Ricardo Nunes
MDB



Parliamentary election
Party Leader Current seats
Municipal Chamber
MDB Sidney Cruz 11
PT Senival Moura 9
UNIÃO Milton Leite 7
PL Isac Félix 6
PSD Edir Sales 6
PSOL Elaine Mineiro 5
Republicanos Sansão Pereira 3
PODE Milton Ferreira 2
PSB Eliseu Gabriel 2
PP Marcos Palumbo 2
NOVO Cris Monteiro 1
PV Roberto Tripoli 1

The 2024 São Paulo municipal election will take place in the city of São Paulo, Brazil on 6 October 2024. Voters will elect a mayor, vice mayor, and 55 city council members. The incumbent mayor, Ricardo Nunes of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB), is running for reelection.[1]

Candidates

Confirmed candidates

Party Mayoral candidate Vice mayoral candidate[a] Coalition

Brazilian Democratic Movement
(MDB 15) 		Ricardo Nunes
Mayor of São Paulo (since 2021)
Vice Mayor of São Paulo (2021)
Councillor (2013–2021) 		Ricardo de Mello Araújo Ricardo de Mello Araújo (PL)
Retired military police officer 		Safe Path to São Paulo

United Socialist Workers' Party
(PSTU 16) 		Altino Prazeres
Metro train operator, former president of the São Paulo Metro Workers Union 		Silvana Garcia
Leader of housing rights movement 		—

Christian Democracy
(DC 27) 		Bebetto Haddad
Former municipal secretary of Sports, Leisure and Recreation 		Camila Consci
Lawyer 		—

Brazilian Labour Renewal Party
(PRTB 28) 		Pablo Marçal
Businessman and coaching digital influencer 		Antônia de Jesus
Military police officer 		—

Workers' Cause Party
(PCO 29) 		João Caproni Pimenta
Columnist for the party news site 		Francisco Muniz
Musician 		—

New Party
(NOVO 30) 		Marina Helena
Economist, former director of the Special Secretariat of Privatizations of the Ministry of Economics 		Reynaldo Priell Neto Reynaldo Priell Neto
Military police officer 		—

Brazilian Socialist Party
(PSB 40) 		Tabata Amaral Tabata Amaral
Federal Deputy (since 2019) 		Lúcia França

First Lady of State of São Paulo (2018)
Secondy Lady of State of São Paulo (2015–2018)

 —

Brazilian Social Democracy Party
(PSDB 45) 		José Luiz Datena José Luiz Datena
TV news presenter 		José Aníbal José Aníbal
Senator (2016–2017; 2021–2022) 		Always Forward Federation

Socialism and Liberty Party
(PSOL 50) 		Guilherme Boulos Guilherme Boulos
Federal Deputy (since 2023) 		Marta Suplicy Marta Suplicy (PT)
Senator (2011–2019)
Mayor of São Paulo (2001–2005) 		Love for São Paulo

Popular Unity
(UP 80) 		Ricardo Senese
Metro transport operator, director at the National Federation of Metro Workers 		Julia Soares

National Coordinator of the Women's Movement Olga Benário

—

Withdrawn candidates

Outgoing Municipal Chamber

The result of the last municipal election and the current situation in the Municipal Chamber is given below:

Affiliation Members +/–
Elected[9] Current[10]
MDB 3 11 Increase8
PT 8 9 Increase1
UNIÃO didn't exist 7 Increase7
PL 2 6 Increase4
PSD 3 6 Increase3
PSOL 6 5 Decrease1
Republicanos 4 3 Decrease1
PP 1 2 Increase1
PSB 2 2 Steady
PODE 3 2 Decrease1
PV 1 1 Steady
NOVO 2 1 Decrease1
PSL 1 extinct party[b] Decrease1
PTB 1 extinct party[c] Decrease1
PSC 1 extinct party[d] Decrease1
Patriota 3 extinct party[c] Decrease3
DEM 6 extinct party[b] Decrease6
PSDB 8 0 Decrease8
Total 55

Debates

Below is a list of the mayoral debates scheduled or held for the 2024 election (times in UTC−03:00).

2024 São Paulo mayoral election debates
No. Date, time, and location Hosts Moderators Participants[e]
Key:
 P  Present  A  Absent  I  Invited  N  Not invited  Out  Out of the election 		MDB PSOL PSDB PSB PRTB NOVO
Nunes Boulos Datena Amaral Marçal Helena
1 8 August 2024, 22:15
Morumbi, São Paulo 		Bandeirantes Eduardo Oinegue[16] P P P P P N
2 14 August 2024, 10:00
FAAP, São Paulo 		Estadão, Terra Roseann Kennedy P P P P P P
3 19 August 2024, 11:00
ESPM, São Paulo 		Veja Marcela Rahal A A A P P P
4 1 September 2024, 18:00
Bela Vista, São Paulo 		TV Gazeta, MyNews Denise Campos de Toledo P P P P P N
5 5 September 2024, 22:00
Jardim Paulista, São Paulo 		Jovem Pan Cancelled
6 15 September 2024, 21:00
Teatro B32, São Paulo 		TV Cultura TBA I I I I I I
7 17 September 2024, 09:30
Osasco 		RedeTV!, UOL Amanda Klein I I I I I N
8 20 September 2024, Osasco SBT César Filho I I I I I I
9 28 September 2024, Osasco Record São Paulo TBA I I I I I I
10 30 September 2024, 10:00 Folha de S. Paulo, UOL TBA I I I I I N
11 3 October 2024
Itaim Bibi, São Paulo 		Rede Globo TBA I I I I I N

Opinion polls

First round

2024

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Datena
PSDB 		Marçal
PRTB 		Amaral
PSB 		M. Helena
NOVO 		Pimenta
PCO 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Quaest 8–10 September 1,200 24% 21% 8% 23% 8% 2% 0% 1% 13% 1%
AtlasIntel 5–10 September 2,200 20.1% 28% 7.2% 24.4% 10.7% 4.7% 0% 0.7% 4.2% 3.6%
Paraná Pesquisas 2–5 September 1,500 23.8% 23.9% 8.4% 21.3% 7.1% 2.9% 0.2% 1.2%[f] 11.2% 0.1%
Datafolha 3–5 September 1,204 22% 23% 7% 22% 9% 3% 0% 2%[g] 12% 1%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–4 September 1,000 23.9% 20.6% 8.9% 26.2% 6.7% 2.2% 0.2% 1.4%[h] 9.9% 2.3%
Real Time Big Data 31 August–2 September 1,500 20% 20% 8% 21% 9% 3% – 1% 18% 1%
30 August Beginning of the period of electoral propaganda on radio and television.[17]
Quaest 25–27 August 1,200 19% 22% 12% 19% 8% 3% 0% 2%[i] 15% 3%
Gerp 23–26 August 1,250 19% 22% 8% 24% 8% 2% 0% –[j] 18% 2%
Instituto Veritá 22–26 August 3,020 14.2% 21.6% 6.3% 30.9% 5.8% 3.6% 0.1% 2.4%[k] 15.1% 9.3%
Futura/100% Cidades 20–24 August 1,000 17.9% 23.3% 9.6% 25.2% 6.2% 2.3% 0% 0.7% 14.7% 1.9%
FESPSP 20–22 August 1,500 21,6% 23.1% 10.7% 16.8% 8.6% 3.9% 0.1% 1.2%[l] 13.9% 1.5%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–22 August 1,500 24.1% 21.9% 13.2% 17.9% 7.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.8%[m] 10.6% 2.2%
Datafolha 20–21 August 1,204 19% 23% 10% 21% 8% 4% 1% 1%[n] 12% 2%
AtlasIntel 15–20 August 1,803 21.8% 28.5% 9.5% 16.3% 12.0% 4.3% 0% 0.5%[o] 7.1% 6.7%
Datafolha 6–8 August 1,092 23% 22% 14% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1%[p] 14% 1%
Paraná Pesquisas 4–7 August 1,500 25.1% 23.2% 15.9% 12.5% 5.5% 3.5% 1.1% 1.2%[q] 11.9% 1.9%
AtlasIntel 2–7 August 2,037 24.9% 32.7% 9.4% 11.4% 11.2% 3.5% — 0.7%[r] 6.2% 7.8%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–5 August 1,000 26.7% 19.9% 12.4% 14.5% 7.3% 1.2% 0.4% 1.3%[s] 16.3% 6.8%
27.2% 19.3% 11.8% 15.3% 9.1% 3.1% — — 14.2% 7.9%
30.4% 23.5% — 16.3% 8.6% 3.6% — — 17.6% 6.9%
5 August The deadline for holding party conventions. After this date, parties must officially announce their candidates.[18]
1 August Kim Kataguiri officially withdraws from the race, stating that his candidacy was sabotaged by the Brazil Union. He announced at the same press conference his support for Ricardo Nunes' candidacy.[7][19]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Datena
PSDB 		Marçal
PRTB 		Amaral
PSB 		Kataguiri
UNIÃO 		M. Helena
NOVO 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Quaest 25–28 July 1,002 20% 19% 19% 12% 5% 3% 3% 2%[t] 17% 1%
21% 19% 19% 13% 6% 2% 4% — 16% 2%
24% 22% — 15% 8% 3% 5% — 23% 2%
26% 23% — 15% 8% — 6% — 22% 3%
33% 24% — — 9% �� 8% — 26% 9%
20 July At the PSOL party convention, with the presence of the President Lula, the "Love for São Paulo" ticket alliance and the candidates for mayor and vice mayor are confirmed – Guilherme Boulos and Marta Suplicy.[20]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Datena
PSDB 		Amaral
PSB 		Marçal
PRTB 		Kataguiri
UNIÃO 		M. Helena
NOVO 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
FESPSP 16–18 July 1,500 22% 26% 12% 5% 11% 3% 2% — 19% 4%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–17 July 1,500 26.9% 24.7% 11.6% 6.4% 10.9% 2.4% 3.6% 1.7%[u] 11.6% 2.2%
27.7% 24.8% 11.8% 6.8% 11.5% — 3.7% 1.9%[v] 11.9% 2.9%
31.9% 27.5% — 7.7% 12.2% — 4.4% 2.4%[w] 13.8% 4.4%
Datafolha 2–4 July 1,092 24% 23% 11% 7% 10% 3% 5% 4%[x] 13% 1%
26% 25% — 9% 12% — 7% 5%[y] 16% 1%
RealTime Big Data 25–28 June 1,500 28% 29% 8% 7% 12% 5% 1% 0%[z] 10% 1%
29% 29% 9% 8% 14% — 1% 10% Tie
Futura/100% Cidades 24–25 June 1,000 20.4% 24.2% 13.5% 5.5% 12.7% 3.2% 3% 1%[aa] 16.4% 3.8%
24.6% 24.8% — 8.5% 14.1% — 3.5% — 24.5% 0.2%
25.2% 22.7% 17.5% 8.1% — — — — 26.5% 2.5%
24.5% 24.4% — 10% 12.3% — — — 28.8% 0.1%
Quaest 22–25 June 1,002 22% 21% 17% 6% 10% 3% 4% 2%[ab] 15% 1%
25% 23% 19% 8% — 5% 4% — 16% 2%
24% 23% 16% 8% 11% — 5% — 13% 1%
28% 24% — 10% 13% — 6% — 19% 4%
30% 25% — 10% — 5% 8% — 22% 5%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–24 June 1,500 28.5% 25.9% 8.3% 8.7% 10% 2.7% 3.1% 1.2%[ac] 11.6% 2.6%
31.1% 27% — 11.2% 11.9% — 3.9% 1.7%[ad] 13.4% 4.1%
Instituto Veritá 15–19 June 1,202 16.9% 28.9% 13.4% 4.4% 14% 4.1% 2.1% 2.3%[ae] 13.3% 12%
Instituto Gerp 13–17 June 1,000 21% 20% 9% 6% 9% 3% 2% 0%[af] 30% 1%
Atlas/CNN 10–11 June 2,220 23.4% 35.7% 5.8% 10.7% 12.6% 6.9% 2% 2.9% 12.3%
32.4% 37.5% — 11.8% — 8.2% 3.2% 6.9% 5.1%
Datafolha 27–28 May 1,092 23% 24% 8% 8% 7% 4% 4% 4%[ag] 18% 1%
26% 24% — 9% 9% — 6% 5%[ah] 21% 2%
Paraná Pesquisas 24–28 May 1,500 28.1% 24.2% 12.1% 9.1% 5.1% 3.4% 3.2% 0.8%[ai] 14% 3.9%
28.2% 24.2% 12.1% 9.3% 5.1% 3.4% 3.2% — 14% 4%
33.1% 26.9% — 11.5% 6.9% — 4.1% — 16.7% 6.2%
Atlas/CNN 22–27 May 1,670 20.5% 37.2% 7.9% 9.9% 10.4% 7.9% 3.5% 0.5%[aj] 2.3% 16.7%
32.6% 37.2% — 11.1% — 9.3% 3.7% 1.2%[ak] 5% 4.6%
24 May The Brazilian Labour Renewal Party confirms the candidacy of Pablo Marçal.[21]
15 May The Brazilian Social Democracy Party confirms the candidacy of José Luiz Datena.[22]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Datena
PSDB 		Amaral
PSB 		Marçal
PRTB 		Kataguiri
UNIÃO 		M. Helena
NOVO 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades 6–7 May 1,000 27.1% 26.1% — 9.7% — 5.1% 4.9% — 26.9% 1%
23% 22.6% 15.2% 8.6% — — — 0.7%[al] 19.8% 0.4%
Paraná Pesquisas 26 April–1 May 1,200 27.3% 25.7% 15.3% 8.2% 2.3% 4% 3.6% 0.3%[am] 13.5% 1.6%
35.2% 29.8% — 10.6% — — 5.7% 1.7%[an] 17.2% 5.4%
AtlasIntel 18–22 April 1,629 33.7% 35.6% — 14.7% — 9.4% 3.5% — 3.1% 1.9%
Instituto Badra 11–13 April 1,500 26% 17% — 10% 4% 2% 4% 1% 36% 9%
30% 20% — 16% — — — — 33% 10%
30%[ao] 21%[ap] — 17%[aq] — — — — 31% 9%
Paraná Pesquisas 13–18 March 1,350 32% 30.1% — 9.6% — 5.7% 5.9% 1%[ar] 15.7% 1.9%
34.3% 30.6% — 10.5% — — 6.3% 1.3%[as] 17% 3.7%
Datafolha 7–8 March 1,090 29% 30% — 8% — 4% 7% 2%[at] 20% 1%
30% 29% — 9% — — 7% 1%[au] 23% 1%
33% 33% — — — — 8% 2%[av] 24% Tie
RealTime Big Data 1–2 March 2,000 29% 34% — 10% — 6% 1% 1%[aw] 19% 5%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–19 February 1,502 32% 33% — 9.7% — 5.2% 3.3% 0.7%[ax] 16.1% 1%
34.7% 33.4% — 10.5% — — 3.8% — 17.6% 1.3%

2023

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Amaral
PSB 		Kataguiri
UNIÃO 		M. Helena
NOVO 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
AtlasIntel 25–30 December 1,600 18% 29.5% 6.2% 5.3% 0.6% 18.4%[ay] 22.1% 11.5%
23.1% 37.9% 8% 6.8% 0.7% 23.5%[az] — 14.8%
ABC Dados 18 December 1,061 16% 29% 8% 10% — 12%[ba] 25% 13%
Instituto Veritá 14–16 December 1,003 5.5% 18.7% 1.2% 3.4% 2.1% 34.5%[bb] 34.4% 13.2%
10.2% 24.2% — — — 16.3%[bc] 49.3% 7.9%[bd]
Futura Inteligência 11–13 December 1,015 21% 25.6% 8.4% 4.4% 3.3% 9.4%[be] 27.8% 4.6%
21% 24.6% 8.3% 4.3% — 16.1%[bf] 27.6% 3.6%
Paraná Pesquisas 6–9 December 1,046 25.4% 31.1% 8.9% 5.4% 3.1% 8.9%[bg] 17.3% 5.7%
29.1% 32.4% 9.2% 6.4% 3.9% — 19% 3.3%
Badra 2–4 October 2,500 21% 29% 7% 5% — 3%[bh] 35% 8%
20% 28% — 4% — 12%[bi] 36% 8%
25% 30% 9% — — — 36% 5%
Paraná Pesquisas 21–24 September 1,066 29% 35.1% 7.5% 5.3% — 2.8%[bj] 20.3% 6.1%
20 September The party Solidariedade announces support to Nunes' reelection.[23]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Amaral
PSB 		Kataguiri
UNIÃO 		Poit
NOVO 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Datafolha 29–30 August 1,092 24% 32% 11% 8% 2% — 23% 8%
5 August Workers' Party (PT) announces support to Boulos' candidacy.[24]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		E. Bolsonaro
PL 		Amaral
PSB 		Kataguiri
UNIÃO 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Instituto Gerp 10–17 July 800 6% 26% 18% 5% 2% 4%[bk] 39% 8%
28 June José Luiz Datena withdraws from the race.[25]
5 June Ricardo Salles withdraws from the race.[26]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Datena
PDT 		Salles
PL 		Amaral
PSB 		Others Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 30 Apr–4 May 1,208 17.8% 31.5% — 10.9% 7.1% 5.4%[bl] 27.3% 13.7%
13.6%[bm] 39.2%[bn] — 20.4%[bo] 7.7%[bp] 5%[bq] — 18.8%
Paraná Pesquisas 23–26 February 1,012 7.9% 26.3% 24.3% 4.8% 3.9% 13.4%[br] 19.4% 2%
8.6% 32% — — 5.1% 33.6%[bs] 20.7% 12.1%
11.1% 32.9% — 7.5% 5.2% 17.4%[bt] 25.9% 21.8%
15% 36.7% — 10.1% — 8.4%[bu] 29.8% 11.7%

Second round

Guilherme Boulos and Ricardo Nunes

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Boulos
PSOL 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 2–5 September 2024 1,500 49.7% 33.6% 16.6% 16.1%
Datafolha 3–5 September 2024 1,204 49% 37% 14% 12%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–4 September 2024 1,000 54.1% 27.8% 18.1% 26.3%
Real Time Big Data 31 August–2 September 2024 1,500 45% 35% 20% 10%
Quaest 25–27 August 2024 1,200 46% 33% 21% 13%
Futura/100% Cidades 20–24 August 2024 1,000 46.7% 30.9% 22.4% 15.8%
FESPSP 20–22 August 2024 1,500 41.9% 36.2% 21.9% 5.7%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–22 August 2024 1,500 50.7% 34.2% 15.1% 16.5%
Datafolha 20–21 August 2024 1,204 47% 38% 15% 9%
AtlasIntel 15–20 August 2024 1,803 40.9% 36.8% 22.4% 4.1%
Datafolha 6–8 August 2024 1,092 49% 36% 15% 13%
Paraná Pesquisas 4–7 August 2024 1,500 50.1% 35.5% 14.4% 14.6%
AtlasIntel 2–7 August 2024 2,037 42% 42.4% 15.6% 0.4%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–5 August 2024 1,000 50.2% 32.3% 17.5% 17.9%
Quaest 25–28 July 2024 1,002 45% 32% 23% 13%
FESPSP 16–18 July 2024 1,500 43% 36% 21% 7%
16–18 July 2024[bv] 36% 46% 18% 10%
16–18 July 2024[bw] 38% 46% 16% 8%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–17 July 2024 1,500 50.5% 35% 14.5% 15.5%
Datafolha 2–4 July 2024 1,092 48% 38% 14% 10%
RealTime Big Data 25–28 June 2024 1,500 46% 39% 15% 7%
Quaest 22–25 June 2024 1,002 46% 34% 20% 12%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–24 June 2024 1,500 49% 33.9% 17% 15.1%
Atlas/CNN 10–11 June 2024 2,220 44% 46% 10% 2%
Paraná Pesquisas 24–28 May 2024 1,500 48.1% 35.9% 16% 12.2%
Atlas/CNN 22–27 May 2024 1,670 46% 43.5% 10.4% 2.5%
Futura/100% Cidades 6–7 May 2024 1,000 44.4% 33.9% 21.6% 10.5%
Paraná Pesquisas 26 April–1 May 2024 1,200 46.8% 37.6% 15.7% 9.2%
Atlas/Intel 18–22 April 2024 1,629 44.8% 44.3% 10.9% 0.5%
Paraná Pesquisas 13–18 March 2024 1,350 46% 39.1% 14.9% 6.9%
RealTime Big Data 1–2 March 2024 2,000 40% 38% 22% 2%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–19 February 2024 1,502 43.3% 39.6% 17.1% 3.7%
AtlasIntel 25–30 December 2023 1,600 37.2% 33.8% 29% 3.4%
Instituto Veritá 14–16 December 2023 1,003 24.4% 27.6% 47.9% 3.2%
Paraná Pesquisas 6–9 December 2023 1,046 41.3% 39.8% 19% 1.5%

Guilherme Boulos and Pablo Marçal

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Boulos
PSOL 		Marçal
PRTB 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 2–5 September 2024 1,500 43.1% 37.9% 19.0% 5.2%
Datafolha 3–5 September 2024 1,204 45% 39% 15% 6%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–4 September 2024 1,000 37.7% 43.4% 18.9% 5.7%
Real Time Big Data 31 August–2 September 2024 1,500 40% 37% 23% 3%
Quaest 25–27 August 2024 1,200 38% 38% 24% Tie
Futura 100% Cidades 20–24 August 2024 1,000 39.4% 39.3% 21.3% 0.1%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–22 August 2024 1,500 42.9% 38.3% 18.8% 4.6%
AtlasIntel 15–20 August 2024 1,803 38.4% 35.4% 26.2% 3%
AtlasIntel 2–7 August 2024 2,037 44.1% 35.2% 20.7% 8.9%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–5 August 2024 1,000 40.1% 30.7% 29.2% 9.4%
Quaest 25–28 July 2024 1,002 37% 33% 30% 4%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–17 July 2024 1,500 44.8% 33.7% 21.5% 11.1%
RealTime Big Data 25–28 June 2024 1,500 40% 33% 27% 7%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–24 June 2024 1,500 45.5% 29.3% 25.1% 16.2%
Atlas/CNN 10–11 June 2024 2,220 48% 38% 14% 10%

Guilherme Boulos and Tabata Amaral

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Boulos
PSOL 		Amaral
PSB 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades 2–4 September 2024 1,000 32.8% 33.1% 34.1% 0.3%
AtlasIntel 15–20 August 2024 1,803 29.8% 29.1% 41.1% 0.7%
AtlasIntel 2–7 August 2024 2,037 37.7% 27.4% 34.9% 10.3%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–5 August 2024 1,000 33.9% 31.7% 34.4% 2.2%
RealTime Big Data 25–28 June 2024 1,500 40% 44% 16% 4%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–24 June 2024 1,500 40% 34% 26% 6%
Atlas/CNN 10–11 June 2024 2,220 40% 34% 26% 6%
Paraná Pesquisas 24–28 May 2024 1,500 41.7% 32.2% 26.1% 9.5%
Atlas/CNN 22–27 May 2024 1,670 37.7% 25.5% 36.8% 12.2%
Futura/100% Cidades 6–7 May 2024 1,000 35.4% 32% 32.6% 3.4%
Paraná Pesquisas 26 April–1 May 2024 1,200 43.6% 33.9% 22.5% 9.7%
Paraná Pesquisas 13–18 March 2024 1,350 43.3% 34.3% 22.4% 9%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–19 February 2024 1,502 43.4% 30.4% 26.1% 13%

Guilherme Boulos and José Luiz Datena

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Boulos
PSOL 		Datena
PSDB 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Quaest 25–27 August 2024 1,200 34% 40% 26% 6%
AtlasIntel 15–20 August 2024 1,803 35.6% 27.5% 36.9% 8.1%
Paraná Pesquisas 4–7 August 2024 1,500 39% 43% 18% 4%
AtlasIntel 2–7 August 2024 2,037 39.9% 29.5% 30.7% 10.4%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–5 August 2024 1,000 36.5% 35.5% 28% 1%
RealTime Big Data 25–28 June 2024 1,500 40% 38% 22% 2%
Quaest 22–25 June 2024 1,002 35% 43% 22% 8%
Atlas/CNN 10–11 June 2024 2,220 44% 27% 28% 17%
Atlas/CNN 22–27 May 2024 1,670 41.5% 27.9% 30.6% 13.6%

Ricardo Nunes and Pablo Marçal

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Marçal
PRTB 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 2–5 September 2024 1,500 50.1% 27.7% 22.2% 22.4%
Datafolha 3–5 September 2024 1,204 53% 31% 17% 22%
Futura/100% Cidades 2–4 September 2024 1,000 50.7% 29.9% 19.4% 20.8%
Real Time Big Data 31 August–2 September 2024 1,500 39% 33% 28% 6%
Quaest 25–27 August 2024 1,200 47% 26% 27% 21%
Futura/100% Cidades 20–24 August 2024 1,000 45.3% 29.9% 24.8% 15.4%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–22 August 2024 1,500 52.1% 25.7% 22.1% 26.4%
Quaest 25–28 July 2024 1,002 46% 22% 32% 24%
RealTime Big Data 25–28 June 2024 1,500 42% 27% 31% 15%

Ricardo Nunes and Tabata Amaral

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Amaral
PSB 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades 2–4 September 2024 1,000 55% 25.4% 19.6% 29.6%
AtlasIntel 15–20 August 2024 1,803 38.5% 38.8% 22.6% 0.3%
AtlasIntel 2–7 August 2024 2,037 38.3% 43.4% 18.3% 5.1%
Quaest 25–28 July 2024 1,002 47% 26% 27% 21%
RealTime Big Data 25–28 June 2024 1,500 43% 42% 15% 1%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–24 June 2024 1,500 48.3% 30.5% 21.1% 17.8%
Atlas/CNN 10–11 June 2024 2,220 42% 37% 20% 5%
Paraná Pesquisas 24–28 May 2024 1,500 49.5% 30% 20.5% 19.5%
Atlas/CNN 22–27 May 2024 1,670 42.4% 38.3% 19.3% 4.1%
Futura/100% Cidades 6–7 May 2024 1,000 43.9% 30% 26.1% 13.9%
Paraná Pesquisas 26 April–1 May 2024 1,200 49.6% 30.8% 19.7% 18.8%
Atlas/Intel 18–22 April 2024 1,629 42.6% 44.3% 13.1% 1.7%
Paraná Pesquisas 13–18 March 2024 1,350 48.4% 30% 21.6% 18.4%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–19 February 2024 1,502 48.3% 28.8% 22.9% 19.5%
AtlasIntel 25–30 December 2023 1,600 36.5% 26.3% 37.1% 10.2%

Ricardo Nunes and José Luiz Datena

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Nunes
MDB 		Datena
PSDB 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Futura/100% Cidades 2–4 September 2024 1,000 57.7% 21.7% 20.6% 36%
Quaest 25–27 August 2024 1,200 45% 31% 24% 14%
Paraná Pesquisas 19–22 August 2024 1,500 52.5% 32.1% 15.3% 20.4%
AtlasIntel 15–20 August 2024 1,803 40.8% 28.7% 30.5% 12.1%
Paraná Pesquisas 4–7 August 2024 1,500 47.2% 35% 17.8% 12.2%
AtlasIntel 2–7 August 2024 2,037 38.7% 28.9% 32.4% 9.8%
Paraná Pesquisas 14–17 July 2024 1,500 47.7% 29.3% 23% 18.4%
RealTime Big Data 25–28 June 2024 1,500 44% 37% 19% 7%
Quaest 22–25 June 2024 1,002 43% 34% 23% 9%
Atlas/CNN 10���11 June 2024 2,220 43% 30% 27% 13%
Atlas/CNN 22–27 May 2024 1,670 45.4% 21.4% 33.2% 24%

Tabata Amaral and José Luiz Datena

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Amaral
PSB 		Datena
PSDB 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Atlas/CNN 10–11 June 2024 2,220 38% 36% 26% 2%
Atlas/CNN 22–27 May 2024 1,670 39.8% 21.6% 38.6% 18.2%

Pablo Marçal and José Luiz Datena

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted 		Sample
size 		Marçal
PRTB 		Datena
PSDB 		Abst.
Undec. 		Lead
Quaest 25–27 August 2024 1,200 34% 40% 26% 6%

Results

Mayor

CandidateRunning matePartyVotes%
Altino PrazeresSilvana GarciaUnited Socialist Workers' Party0–
Guilherme BoulosMarta Suplicy (PT)Socialism and Liberty Party0–
João PimentaFrancisco MunizWorkers' Cause Party0–
José Luiz DatenaJosé AníbalBrazilian Social Democracy Party0–
Marina HelenaReynaldo Priell NetoNew Party0–
Pablo MarçalAntônia de JesusBrazilian Labour Renewal Party0–
Ricardo NunesRicardo de Mello Araújo (PL)Brazilian Democratic Movement0–
Ricardo SeneseJulia SousaPopular Unity0–
Tabata AmaralLúcia FrançaBrazilian Socialist Party0–
Total0–
Registered voters/turnout9,322,444–

Municipal Chamber

Party or allianceVotes%Seats+/–
Agir0–0–
Avante0–0–
Brazil of HopeCommunist Party of Brazil0–0–
Green Party0–0–
Workers' Party0–0–
Brazil Union0–0New
Brazilian Communist Party0–0–
Brazilian Democratic Movement0–0–
Brazilian Labour Renewal Party0–0–
Brazilian Socialist Party0–0–
Brazilian Woman's Party0–0–
Christian Democracy0–0–
Democratic Labour Party0–0–
Democratic Renewal Party0–0New
Liberal Party0–0–
National Mobilization0–0–
New Party0–0–
Podemos0–0–
Popular Unity0–0–
Progressistas0–0–
PSDB Cidadania
Federation		Brazilian Social Democracy Party0–0–
Cidadania0–0–
PSOL REDE
Federation		Socialism and Liberty Party0–0–
Sustainability Network0–0–
Republicans0–0–
Social Democratic Party0–0–
Solidariedade0–0–
United Socialist Workers' Party0–0–
Workers' Cause Party0–0–
Total0–55–
Registered voters/turnout9,322,444–

Notes

  1. ^ Same party as the mayoral candidate, unless mentioned in parentheses
  2. ^ a b Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL) merged into the Brazil Union in February 2022.[13]
  3. ^ a b Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) and Patriota merged in the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) in November 2023.[11]
  4. ^ Social Christian Party (PSC) merged into Podemos (PODE) in June 2023.[12]
  5. ^ Debates broadcast on television or radio were legally required to invite all candidates whose parties or coalitions had at least five members in the National Congress based on the most recent election.[14] The candidates listed in this table satisfied this condition.[15]
  6. ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.6%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% each.
  7. ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each.
  8. ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.9%, Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) with 0.1%.
  9. ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 2%.
  10. ^ The other candidates did not even score 1% each.
  11. ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 1.7%, Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) with 0.3%.
  12. ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.6% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% each.
  13. ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 0.6% and Altino Prazers (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each.
  14. ^ Bebeto Haddad (DC) with 1%.
  15. ^ Altino Prazers (PSTU) with 0.3% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.2%.
  16. ^ Voting intentions for Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 1%; candidates Ricardo Senese (UP) and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) did not even reach less than 1% each.
  17. ^ Voting intentions for Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.5%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.4% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3%.
  18. ^ Voting intentions for Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.7%.
  19. ^ Voting intentions for Kim Kataguiri with 1.1%; candidates Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres had 0.1% each.
  20. ^ Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 1% each
  21. ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.9%; Ricardo Senese (UP) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% each and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.2%
  22. ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.9%; Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.4% and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% each
  23. ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 1.1%; Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.6%; Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.4% and Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3%
  24. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Pimenta (PCO) with 1% each
  25. ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 2%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each
  26. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Pimenta (PCO) did not reach 1%
  27. ^ Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 0.6%, Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% and João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.1%.
  28. ^ João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 1% each.
  29. ^ João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.4%; Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.3% each; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.2%
  30. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.5% each; João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.4% and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), 0.3%
  31. ^ Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 1.1%; João Pimenta (PCO) with 0.8%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.3% and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1%
  32. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  33. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU); Fernando Fantauzzi (DC), Ricardo Senese (UP) and João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) with 1% each
  34. ^ João Caproni Pimenta (PCO) with 3%; Altino Prazeres (PSTU) and Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) with 1% each one
  35. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU) with 0.5%; João Caproni Pimenta (PSTU), Fernando Fantauzzi (DC) and Ricardo Senese (UP) with 0.1% each
  36. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  37. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  38. ^ Abraham Weintraub (PMB)
  39. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  40. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  41. ^ With Sonaira Fernandes (Republicanos) as his running mate.
  42. ^ With Marta Suplicy (PT) as his running mate.
  43. ^ With José Luiz Datena (PSDB) as her running mate.
  44. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  45. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  46. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  47. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  48. ^ Altino Prazeres (PSTU)
  49. ^ Padre Kelmon (DC)
  50. ^ Padre Kelmon (DC)
  51. ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 17.6% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.8%
  52. ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 22.5% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 1%
  53. ^ Ricardo Salles (PL)
  54. ^ Marcos Pontes (PL), 15.8%; Marta Suplicy (PT), 14.0% Pablo Marçal (independent), 2.8%; Marco Vinholi (PSDB), 1.9%
  55. ^ Ricardo Salles (PL), 16.3%
  56. ^ Against Ricardo Salles (PL)
  57. ^ Ricardo Salles (PL)
  58. ^ Marcos Pontes (PL) with 13% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%
  59. ^ Ricardo Salles (PL) with 8.3% and Marco Vinholi (PSDB) with 0.6%
  60. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
  61. ^ Márcio França (PSB) with 9% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3%
  62. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
  63. ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 3% and Fernando Holiday (PL) with 1%.
  64. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO)
  65. ^ If endorsed by Planning Minister Simone Tebet (MDB)
  66. ^ If endorsed by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT)
  67. ^ If endorsed by former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL)
  68. ^ If endorsed by Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB)
  69. ^ Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 5%, if endorsed by Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema (NOVO)
  70. ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.5%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1.6%
  71. ^ Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) with 19.1%, Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 8.9%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 3.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.1%
  72. ^ Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) with 10.3%, Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 4.5% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2.6%
  73. ^ Kim Kataguiri (UNIÃO) with 5.3% and Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 3.1%
  74. ^ Possible second round scenarios in which voters are informed that Marta Suplicy (PT) is Boulos' running mate and that Ricardo Mello (PL) is Nunes' running mate.
  75. ^ Possible second round scenarios in which voters are informed of President Lula's (PT) support for Boulos' candidacy and former President Bolsonaro's (PL) support for Nunes' candidacy.

References

  1. ^ Patriarca, Paola (3 August 2024). "MDB oficializa candidatura de Ricardo Nunes à Prefeitura de SP com Bolsonaro e Tarcísio no palco". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 3 August 2023.
  2. ^ Ghirotto, Edoardo (3 March 2023). "Salles manda recado a prefeito de SP e diz que será candidato em 2024". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  3. ^ "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 5 June 2023.
  4. ^ TARDE, A. (2024-04-11). "PRTB desiste de padre Kelmon e aposta em Pablo Marçal em eleição de SP". A TARDE (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-05-28.
  5. ^ Kelmon, Monsenhor (2024-05-02). "x.com". X (formerly Twitter). Archived from the original on 2024-05-28. Retrieved 2024-05-28.
  6. ^ "Weintraub lança pré-candidatura em SP e diz que irá à Justiça para concorrer sem partido". CNN Brasil. Retrieved 2024-03-11.
  7. ^ a b "Kim Kataguiri deixa disputa à Prefeitura de SP: 'Fui desistido e sabotado'". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-08-01. Retrieved 2024-08-03.
  8. ^ Carlucci, Manoela. "Prefeitura de SP: Democracia Cristã muda pré-candidato na disputa faltando três dias para prazo final de convenções". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-08-06.
  9. ^ "São Paulo/SP - Eleição 2020 definida para prefeito e vereadores". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 15 November 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2023.
  10. ^ "Vereadores da Câmara - Novo Site da Câmara Municipal de São Paulo". Câmara Municipal de São Paulo. Archived from the original on 2024-04-24. Retrieved 2024-04-24.
  11. ^ Pontes, Felipe (9 November 2023). "TSE aprova criação do PRD, resultado de fusão entre PTB e Patriota". Agência Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 16 November 2023.
  12. ^ "TSE aprova incorporação do Partido Social Cristão pelo Podemos". Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (in Brazilian Portuguese). 16 June 2023. Retrieved 22 February 2024.
  13. ^ Vivas, Fernanda (8 February 2022). "TSE aprova registro e estatuto do União Brasil, partido resultante da fusão entre DEM e PSL". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 5 June 2023.
  14. ^ "Resolution no. 23610, of 18 December 2019. Article 44" (in Portuguese). Superior Electoral Court of Brazil. Archived from the original on 1 April 2022. Retrieved 18 August 2022.
  15. ^ "Annex to order no. 739, of 12 August 2022" (in Portuguese). Superior Electoral Court of Brazil. 12 August 2022.[permanent dead link]
  16. ^ "Band realiza debates em 19 cidades hoje; saiba como assistir". www.band.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-08-08. Retrieved 2024-08-08.
  17. ^ "Horário eleitoral gratuito começa em SP com 4 candidatos e sem Marçal". Valor Econômico (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-08-30. Retrieved 2024-09-02.
  18. ^ Matos, Maria Clara. "Saiba quem são os candidatos a prefeito de São Paulo; veja lista". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-08-08.
  19. ^ "Milton Leite e União Brasil abandonam Kim Kataguiri na disputa pela Prefeitura de São Paulo". Brasil de Fato (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-06-24. Retrieved 2024-07-19.
  20. ^ Luca, Adriana De. "Ao lado de Lula, Guilherme Boulos é oficializado como candidato pelo PSOL em São Paulo". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-07-21.
  21. ^ "PRTB lança pré-candidatura do coach Pablo Marçal à Prefeitura de SP". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2024-05-25. Retrieved 2024-05-28.
  22. ^ Rodrigues, Rodrigo (15 May 2024). "Datena e PSDB dizem que apresentador está confirmado como candidato a prefeito de SP". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 16 May 2024.
  23. ^ "Datafolha: Boulos lidera com 32% das intenções de voto para Prefeitura de SP; Nunes aparece em segundo, com 24%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 31 August 2023. Retrieved 25 September 2023.
  24. ^ "PT oficializa apoio a Boulos para eleição à prefeitura de SP". Carta Capital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 August 2023. Retrieved 5 August 2023.
  25. ^ CASTRO, DANIEL (2023-06-28). "Para não pagar mico, Datena manda cancelar festa de candidatura a prefeito". Notícias da TV (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-07-30.
  26. ^ "Ricardo Salles desiste de concorrer à prefeitura de SP: Tomei uma rasteira". UOL Notícias (in Brazilian Portuguese). 5 June 2023. Retrieved 18 July 2023.
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