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! Downfall
! Downfall
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|[[Bulgaria]]
|c.800-1018
|The conquer of the [[Avars]] and much of the [[Balkans]]
|Fall under [[Byzantine]] rule
|The country became cultural and spiritual centre of the [[Slavic]] world, the [[Cyrillic]] alphabet is developped, efectively stopped the Barbarian tribes ([[Pechenegs]], [[Magyars]] and others) from migrating to the west.
|-
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|[[Habsburg Monarchy]]/ [[Austrian Empire]]/ [[Austria-Hungary]]<ref name="The Great powers and the Eastern Question">[http://www.lib.msu.edu/sowards/balkan/lect10.htm The Great powers and the Eastern Question] [[Michigan State University]] Lecture </ref><ref name="BBC News - World War I">{{cite web|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/special_report/1998/10/98/world_war_i/198172.stm|title=BBC News - World War I|accessdate=2006-09-04}} ''Note listing of Triple Entente and Triple Alliance as Great powers''</ref>
|[[Habsburg Monarchy]]/ [[Austrian Empire]]/ [[Austria-Hungary]]<ref name="The Great powers and the Eastern Question">[http://www.lib.msu.edu/sowards/balkan/lect10.htm The Great powers and the Eastern Question] [[Michigan State University]] Lecture </ref><ref name="BBC News - World War I">{{cite web|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/special_report/1998/10/98/world_war_i/198172.stm|title=BBC News - World War I|accessdate=2006-09-04}} ''Note listing of Triple Entente and Triple Alliance as Great powers''</ref>

Revision as of 10:35, 7 November 2006

A great power (or Great Power) is a term used to refer to a nation or state that, through its great economic, political and military strength, is able to exert power over world diplomacy. Its opinions are often strongly taken into account by other nations before taking diplomatic or military action. Characteristically, they have the ability to intervene militarily almost anywhere, and they also have soft, cultural power, often in the form of economic investment in less developed portions of the world.

There is great debate as to which nations constitute the great powers of the world. Largely the question has been answered by recourse to 'common-sense'. This has led to a great deal of subjective analysis, with little agreement on a definitive list. A second approach that has been taken, has been an attempt to develop a conceptual notion of great powers — deriving criteria which can then be applied in a historical examination to identify those countries which have, or have had, this status.

History

Different sets of great, or significant, powers have existed throughout history; however the term "great power" has only been used as one of scholarly or diplomatic discourse since the post-Napoleonic era Congress of Vienna in 1815.[1] The Congress established the Concert of Europe as an attempt to preserve peace after the years of Napoleonic Wars.

Lord Castlereagh, the British Foreign Secretary, first used the term in its diplomatic context, in a letter sent on the February 13, 1814. He stated that:

It affords me great satisfaction to acquaint you that there is every prospect of the Congress terminating with a general accord and Guarantee between the great Powers of Europe, with a determination to support the arrangement agreed upon, and to turn the general influence and if necessary the general arms against the Power that shall first attempt to disturb the Continental peace.[2]

The Congress of Vienna consisted of five main powers: the United Kingdom (or Great Britain), Austria-Hungary, Prussia, France, and Russia. Spain, Portugal, and Sweden were consulted on certain specific issues, but they were not full participants. On issues relating to Germany, Hanover, Bavaria, and Württemberg were also consulted. These five primary participants constituted the original great powers as we know the term today.[3]

Over time, these original five were subject to the usual ebb and flow of events. Some, such as the UK and Prussia (as part of the newly-formed German state), experienced continued economic growth and political power.[4] Others, such as Russia and Austria-Hungary, slowly ossified.[5][6] At the same time, other states were emerging and expanding in power; the foremost of which were Japan and the United States. Clearly, at the dawn of the 20th century, the balance of world power had changed substantially from 1815 and the Congress of Vienna. The Eight-Nation Alliance formed in 1900 to invade China represented the club of the great powers at the beginning of 20th century. Since then, the memebers of the great power club have not changed much. The Group of Eight shares the same members as the Eight-Nation Alliance formed one hundred years ago except that Austria-Hungary is replaced by Canada.

Shifts of international power have most notably occurred through major conflicts. [7] The conclusion of World War I and the resulting Treaty of Versailles saw the United Kingdom, France, Italy and the United States (otherwise known as the Big 4) as the chief arbiters of the new world order.[8] The end of World War II saw the United States, United Kingdom, and Soviet Union emerge as the primary victors. The importance of China and France was acknowledged by their inclusion (along with the 'Big Three') in the group of countries aloted permanent seats in the United Nations Security Council.

Since the end of the World Wars, the term 'great power' has been joined by a number of other power classifications. Foremost among these is the concept of the superpower, used to describe those nations with overwhelming power over the rest of the world. Middle power has emerged as a term for those nations which exercise a degree of global influence, but insufficient to be decisive on international affairs. Regional powers are those whose influence is confined to their region, major power and global power have emerged as synonyms of 'great power'. [9]

Characteristics

There are no set and defined characteristics of a great power. Largely the question has been treated as 'an empirical one, and common sense can answer it'.[10] This approach does have the obvious disadvantage of subjectivity. As a result there have been attempts to derive some common criteria and to treat these as essential elements of great power status.

Early writings on the subject tended to judge nations by the realist criterion: 'The test of a Great Power is the test of strength for war'.[11] Later writers have expanded this test, attempting to define power in terms of overall military, economic, and political capacity.[12] This expanded test can be divided into three heads: power capabilities, spatial aspects, and status.[13]

Power dimension

As noted above, for many, power capabilities were the sole criterion. However, even under the more expansive tests power retains a vital place.

This aspect has received mixed treatment, with some confusion as to the degree of power required. Writers have approached the concept of Great power with differing conceptualisations of the world situation, from multipolarity to overwhelming hegemony. In his essay 'French Diplomacy in the Postwar Period', the French historian Jean-Baptiste Duroselle spoke to the multipolarity conceptualisation. He wrote:

'A Great power is one which is capable of preserving its own independence against any other single power.' [14]

This differed from earlier writers, notably from Leopold von Ranke, who clearly had a different idea of the world situation. In his essay 'The Great Powers', written in 1833, he wrote:

'If one could establish as a definition of a great power that it must be able to maintain iteself against all others, even when they are united, then Frederick has raised Prussia to that position.' [15]

Illogicalities in these positions have been the subject of criticism.[16] Duroselle's definition supposes a situation in which the major world powers are equal in power - each able to resist one another. This is quite unlike the usual state of international relations where, even amongst great powers, there are nations which are stronger than others. Ranke's definition implies that one state has overwhelming power. If this is the definition, that it should be able to defeat all, or a combination of, other states, then it is unclear what qualified these other states to be considered as great powers.

Some of this difficulty is remedied by the post-war emergence of the term Superpower.

Spatial dimension

All nations have a geographic scope of interests, actions, or projected power. This is a crucial factor in distinguishing a great power from a regional power; by definition the scope of a regional power is restricted to its region. It has been suggested that a great power should be possessed of actual influence throughout the scope of the prevailing international system.

'Great Power may be defined as a political force exerting an effect co-extensive with the widest range of the society in which it operates. The Great Powers of 1914 were 'world-powers' beacause Western society had recently become 'world-wide'.' [17]

Other suggestions that have been made are that a great power should have the capacity to engage in extra-regional affairs and that a great power ought to be possessed of extra-regional interests, two propositions which are often closely connected.[18]

Status dimension

Formal or informal acknowledgement of a nation's status as a great power.

'The status of Great Power is sometimes confused with the condition of being powerful, The office, as it is known, did in fact evolve from the role played by the great military states in earlier periods ... But the Great Power system institutionalises the position of the powerful state in a web of rights and obligations.' [19]

This approach restricts analysis to the post-Congress of Vienna epoch; it being there that great powers were first formally recognised.[20] In the absence of such a formal act of recognition it has been suggested that great power status can arise by implication, by judging the nature of a state's relations with other great powers.[21]

A further option is to examine a state's willingness to act as a great power.[22] As a nation will rarely declare that it is acting as such, this usually entails a retrospective examination of state conduct. As a result this is of limited use in establishing the nature of contemporary powers, at least not without the exercise of subjective observation.

Great powers

Past

It should be noted that some of the past great powers regained or retained their influential position on the global stage and thus can be found in the "Present" table in the following section.

Great powers throughout modern history
Country Dates Rise Downfall Notes
Bulgaria c.800-1018 The conquer of the Avars and much of the Balkans Fall under Byzantine rule The country became cultural and spiritual centre of the Slavic world, the Cyrillic alphabet is developped, efectively stopped the Barbarian tribes (Pechenegs, Magyars and others) from migrating to the west.
Habsburg Monarchy/ Austrian Empire/ Austria-Hungary[23][24] 1687-1918 Battle of Mohács (1687) World War I Under the Habsburg Dynasty
German Empire[23][24][25] 1871-1918, 1933-1945 Franco-Prussian War (1871), Rule of Nazism (1933-1945) Treaty of Versailles, World War II Under Hohenzollern Dynasty, as Republic of Weimar and Adolf Hitler
Italy[23][24][26][25][8] 1861-1943 Italian Unification World War II After the Italian Unification under Savoy Monarchy and later Benito Mussolini
Imperial Japan[25] 1905-1945 Russo-Japanese War Military destruction by the Allies during World War II Under Hirohito
The Netherlands[27] 1584-1702 Eighty Years' War French invasions One of the most influential trading centres in Europe
The Ottoman Empire[23] 1299-1923 Collapse of Byzantine Empire World War I Used southeastern Europe to launch great assaults into the heart of Europe in the 16th and 17th centuries.
Poland-Lithuania 1386-1795 Union of Krewo partitioned in three stages by the neighboring Russian Empire, Kingdom of Prussia, and the Habsburg Monarchy
Portugal 1415-1580, 1640-1822 Portuguese colonization, restoration of independence Spanish annexation, Napoleonic Wars and Brazilian independence
Prussia 1763-1871 Seven Years' War German Unification Under Hohenzollern Dynasty; can be said to be directly succeeded by German power
Spain[28] 1469-1824 Unification of Spain Latin American wars of independence and internal political turmoil. Under Trastámara, Hapsburg, and Bourbon Dynasties. First "global empire".
Sweden[29] 1611-1718 The Coronation of Gustav II Adolf Charles XII death at Fredrikshald
Russia[24] 1721-1917 (Russian Empire) The Great Northern War Russian Revolution of 1917 Under Romanov Dynasty (Russian Empire)
The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) / Soviet Union[25] 1945-1991 World War II Dissolved in 1991 by the leadership of Russia, the Ukraine, and Belarus Under communism, consisted of 15 Soviet Republics; military strength, diplomatic influence, large industrial output, extensive resources, possession of a vast nuclear stockpile, advanced military and space scientific/technological capabilities

Present

The gross domestic product (GDP), as shown on this map, is perhaps the most important characteristic of a great power.

It is now generally accepted that the term "great power" also applies to the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, China, Japan, and Russia. The European powers of the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Italy lost much of their political influence after the World Wars. However, all four of these nations managed to rebuild their economy and increase their power projection. There is debate on whether Italy, and India (as an emerging superpower) should be included as 'great powers' as they meet some of the common characteristics of the other powers. Italy is a member of the G-8, and can be described as a major power in economic contexts;[30] in military terms, she is sometimes categorized as a middle power instead of a great power.[31].

Great powers throughout modern history
Country Dates Rise Downfall Notes
China[32][33] 1978 - present Today under People's Republic of China (PRC). World's fastest growing economy, permanent UN Security Council seat, world's largest military, nuclear capability - Considered an emerging superpower
Kingdom of Great Britain/ United Kingdom[23][25][24][8][34] 1688 - present The Glorious Revolution (1688), economic power, G8 nation Under William III of Orange, Hanover, Saxe-Coburg-Gotha, Windsor, and the British Parliament. Empire created by the Royal Navy and British Army. Lost its Empire Post-WWII, large economy, scientifically advanced, highly professional and effective military with a genuine power-projection capability, Nuclear deterrent, head of Commonwealth, G8 Nation, permanent member of UN security council.
France[23][25][24][8][34] 1648 - present End of Thirty Years' War (1648), economic power, G8 nation Under Napoleon, Napoleon III, and multiple French republics. Lost its Empire Post-WWII, partially recovered, now G8 nation, highly professional military with a Nuclear deterrence, permanent member of UN security council and head of La Francophonie.
Germany[35][36][37][34] 1970s-present Economic 'miracle' (1970s) and economic power, G8 founding member (starting in Western Germany, then continuing after the reunification) Federal Republic; forming the core of Europe (w France)
India [38][39][40] 1990-Present Rapid economic expansion, largest democracy, friendly with majority of nations, military strength, nuclear capability - Considered an emerging superpower
Italy[41][42][34] 1970s - present Economic miracle, G8 nation - Debatable
Japan[43][34] 1970s-present Economic power, G8 nation Slumped post-World War II, but recovered by 1970s.
Russia 1991 - present (Russian Federation) Inherited largest part of Soviet Union. - Now a federation and the formal successor state to the USSR; current power from military strength, permanent seat on UN Security Council (veto power), extensive resources, possession of a vast nuclear stockpile, advanced military and space scientific/technological capabilities, G8 Nation.
United States[25][8] 1898 - present Spanish-American War - Economic power, permanent seat on the UN Security Council, G8 nation, scientific leadership, and military strength with a Nuclear deterrence

References

  1. ^ Danilovic, Vesna - When the Stakes Are High - Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers, University of Michigan Press (2002) - p27 - (PDF copy)
  2. ^ Webster, Charles K, Sir (ed) - British Diplomacy 1813-1815: Selected Documents Dealing with the Reconciliation of Europe, G Bell (1931), p. 307
  3. ^ Danilovic, Vesna - When the Stakes Are High - Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers, University of Michigan Press (2002), p. 228 - (PDF copy)
  4. ^ [www.courses.rochester.edu/stone/PSC272/lectures/05-Pro%20Waltz.ppt Multipolarity vs Bipolarity, Subsidiary hypotheses, Balance of Power]
  5. ^ History of Europe Austria-Hungary 1870-1914
  6. ^ A Short History of Russia
  7. ^ phttp://jcr.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/32/1/87 Power Transitions as the cause of war]
  8. ^ a b c d e Globalization and Autonomy by Julie Sunday, McMaster University
  9. ^ Definition of Great power
  10. ^ Waltz, Kenneth N - Theory of International Politics, McGraw-Hill (1979) - p131
  11. ^ Taylor, AJP - The Struggle for Mastery in Europe 1848-1918, Oxford: Clarendon (1954), xxiv
  12. ^ Organski, AFK - World Politics, Knopf (1958)
  13. ^ Danilovic, Vesna - When the Stakes Are High - Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers, University of Michigan Press (2002), p. 225 - (PDF copy)
  14. ^ contained in: Kertesz and Fitsomons (eds) - Diplomacy in a Changing World, University of Notre Dame Press (1959)
  15. ^ contained in: Iggers and von Moltke - In the Theory and Practice of History, Bobbs-Merril (1973)
  16. ^ Danilovic, Vesna - When the Stakes Are High - Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers, University of Michigan Press (2002) - p226 - (PDF copy)
  17. ^ Toynbee, Arnold J - The World After the Peace Conference, Humphrey Milford and Oxford University Press (1925) - p4
  18. ^ Stoll, Richard J - State Power, World Views, and the Major Powers, Contained in: Stoll and Ward (eds) - Power in World Politics, Lynne Rienner (1989)
  19. ^ Modelski, George - Principles of World Politics, Free Press (1972) - p141
  20. ^ Danilovic, Vesna - When the Stakes Are High - Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers, University of Michigan Press (2002) - p228 - (PDF copy)
  21. ^ Domke, William K - Power, Political Capacity, and Security in the Global System, Contained in: Stoll and Ward (eds) - Power in World Politics, Lynn Rienner (1989)
  22. ^ Domke, William K - Power, Political Capacity, and Security in the Global System - p161, Contained in: Stoll and Ward (eds) - Power in World Politics, Lynn Rienner (1989)
  23. ^ a b c d e f The Great powers and the Eastern Question Michigan State University Lecture
  24. ^ a b c d e f "BBC News - World War I". Retrieved 2006-09-04. Note listing of Triple Entente and Triple Alliance as Great powers
  25. ^ a b c d e f g "World War II Great Power GDP Comparison". Retrieved 2006-09-03. Cite error: The named reference "World War II Great Power GDP Comparison" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  26. ^ University of Michigan Explanation of great powers
  27. ^ [www.ucc.ie/academic/history/common/download.php?id=100 The Golden Age of Dutch Culture]
  28. ^ North, Douglass C. [Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0895-3309%28199124%295%3A1%3C97%3AI%3E2.0.CO%3B2-W "The Journal of Economic Perspectives"] (Vol. 5, No. 1. (Winter, 1991)): 97-112. {{cite journal}}: |issue= has extra text (help); Check |url= value (help); Cite journal requires |journal= (help), p.110:"Spain, the great power of the sixteenth century".
  29. ^ Sweden's Great power period
  30. ^ see for example Heineman, Ben W. "The Long War Against Corruption". Foreign affairs (May/June 2006). {{cite journal}}: Unknown parameter |access= ignored (|access-date= suggested) (help); which speaks of Italy as a major country or "player" along with France, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom.
  31. ^ Middle Power Approaches to Maritime Security Note the categorization of Italy within this group
  32. ^ "Yale, China as a great power" (PDF). Retrieved 2006-08-21.
  33. ^ "Council on foreign affairs, China as a great power". Retrieved 2006-08-21.
  34. ^ a b c d e Heineman, Ben W. "The Long War Against Corruption". Foreign affairs (May/June 2006). {{cite journal}}: Unknown parameter |access= ignored (|access-date= suggested) (help)
  35. ^ "World Security Network, Germany a great power in denial" (PDF). Retrieved 2006-08-21.
  36. ^ "Nato, Federal Republic of Germany, a European great power". Retrieved 2006-08-21.
  37. ^ "World Security Network, Germany fails to recognize its position as a Great Power". Retrieved 2006-08-21.
  38. ^ India: The Fourth Great Power?
  39. ^ India as a world power
  40. ^ India and the Balance of Power
  41. ^ "Modern Italy Stakes a Claim to Top League". Retrieved 2006-09-02.
  42. ^ ""There is no doubt that Italy is a great power."". Retrieved 2006-08-24.
  43. ^ "The New Republic, Japan's great power role relating to the Korea conflict zone". Retrieved 2006-08-21.

See also