Wikipedia

2012 United States presidential election

This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Pcsmith (talk | contribs) at 13:03, 17 May 2010. The present address (URL) is a permanent link to this revision, which may differ significantly from the current revision.

The United States presidential election of 2012 is the next United States presidential election, to be held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. It will be the 57th quadrennial presidential election in which presidential electors, who will actually elect the President and the Vice President of the United States on December 17, 2012, will be chosen. Democratic President Barack Obama will be eligible to run for a second and final term during this election.

United States presidential election, 2012
← 2008 November 6, 2012 2016 →
File:Electors 2012 Polidata2009.svg
One projection of the Electoral College map for the 2012, 2016, and 2020 elections.[1]
(currently uses four colors)
Incumbent President

Barack Obama
Democratic



The 2012 presidential election will coincide with the United States Senate elections where 33 races will be occurring as well as the United States House of Representatives elections to elect the members for the 113th Congress. The election will also encompass eleven gubernatorial races as well as many state legislature races.

Template:Wikinewshas

Electoral College changes

The 2010 Census will ultimately decide how the electoral map will be laid out for the 2012 election, but population projections based upon Census updates give an estimate of how the Electoral College vote apportionment will change. The Census occurs every ten years and is the basis for electoral vote reapportionment based on relative state population changes. According to a study based on the 2009 population estimates, the likely changes are as follows.[1]

States in green represent states that are predicted to gain votes. States in maroon represent states that are predicted to lose votes. Based on the 2008 presidential election results, this would give the Democratic Party a net loss of seven electoral votes, for a national total of 358, and the Republican Party a net gain of seven electoral votes, for a national total of 180.

A lawsuit Clemens et al. v. Department of Commerce et al. has been filed in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Mississippi. The suit seeks a court order for Congress to reapportion the House of Representatives with a greater number of members following the 2010 Census, in order to rectify under- and over-representation of some states with the 435 rule. If this occurs, this would also affect Electoral College apportionment for the 2012 and subsequent presidential elections.[2]

Election changes

Republican Party Ohio plan

The Republican Party decided in 2008 to implement an "Ohio plan" that would divide the primary states in their nominating process into three tiers: early states, small states, and large states. It would allow the early states to retain their status and tradition of being states that vote first. By the end of February 2012, nineteen small states (in terms of the Electoral College) would be allowed to vote. In March, the last states, the largest ones, would then have their primaries.[3]

Presidential conventions

The 2012 Republican National Convention is scheduled take place the week of August 27, 2012, in Tampa, Florida.[4][5]

The 2012 Democratic National Convention is scheduled to take place the week of September 3, 2012.[6] Charlotte,[7] Dallas,[8] Philadelphia,[9] Phoenix,[10] and St. Louis[11] have shown interest in bidding to be the host site for the event.

Declared candidates

The following are individuals who have formally announced that they are running for president in 2012, and have filed as a candidate with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

Independent candidates

Main article: Independent (United States) presidential candidates, 2012
See also: Independent (politician)

Speculated candidates

The following are individuals who are or have been the subject of speculation in prominent media sources as being possible presidential contenders in the 2012 election. The speculation may stem from noted media analysts and commentators, or from actions or comments made by the individuals themselves—which suggest the possibility of a presidential run—as reported in reliable media sources.

Speculated Democratic Party candidates

  • President Barack Obama is eligible for a second term. Since 1972, every incumbent President eligible for re-election has been nominated by his party.

Some liberal Democrats have suggested a potential primary challenge owing to frustration at Obama's action on the War in Afghanistan as well as on single-payer health care, a public health insurance option, Medicare and Medicaid expansion, the Stupak Amendment and removal of the health insurance industry antitrust exemption made during attempts at healthcare reform.[14][15][16]

While the President has made no formal announcement or taken official actions regarding a re-election campaign, Politico reported in February 2010 that a number of his top advisors had begun "quietly laying the groundwork for the 2012 reelection campaign." [17][18]

Speculated Republican Party candidates

Main article: Republican Party (United States) presidential primaries, 2012 § Speculated candidates

No one has formally announced his or her candidacy for the Republican Party nomination. The following are individuals that have been speculated about as possible candidates.

Speculated Republican Party candidates who have decided not to run

Speculated Libertarian Party candidates

Main article: Libertarian Party (United States) presidential candidates, 2012

No one has formally announced his or her candidacy for the Libertarian Party nomination. The following are individuals that are or have been speculated about as possible candidates.

Speculated independent candidates

The following are individuals that are or have been speculated about as possible independent candidates.

See also

References

  1. ^ a b "Congressional Apportionment: 2010 Projections Based Upon State Estimates as of July 1, 2009". Clark H. Bensen. 2009-12-23. Retrieved 2010-02-02.
  2. ^ http://apportionment.us/Complaint.pdf; http://apportionment.us/case.html
  3. ^ "GOP Weighs Calendar Changes for 2012". Washington Post.
  4. ^ Barr, Andy, and Mike Allen (May 12, 2010) "Republicans pick Tampa for 2012 convention", Politico. Retrieved May 13, 2010.
  5. ^ Lush, Tamara (May 12, 2010) "Tampa wins bid to host 2012 GOP convention", The Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2010.
  6. ^ Smith, Ben (April 5, 2010) "DNC 2012: Mark your calendars", Politico. Retrieved April 13, 2010.
  7. ^ (December 2, 2009) "Blue city. Blue state. Blue convention?", News & Observer. Retrieved December 2, 2009.
  8. ^ "Dallas officials consider bidding for 2012 political conventions". The Dallas Morning News. 31 August 2008. Retrieved 28 December 2008.
  9. ^ Halperin, Mark (April 5, 2010) "DNC 2012", TIME. Retrieved May 13, 2010.
  10. ^ Wong, Scott; Berry, Jahna (January 14, 2010) "Phoenix vies to host GOP, Dems' 2012 conventions", AZcentral.com/12 News. Retrieved January 14, 2010.
  11. ^ Tritto, Christopher (April 16, 2010) "St. Louis City makes play for DNC convention", St. Louis Business Journal. Retrieved April 16, 2010.
  12. ^ Feather, Carl E. (January 14, 2009) "In the 2008 presidential campaign, it was Joe the Plumber. In 2012, it’s going to be Joe the Painter", The Star Beacon. Retrieved February 23, 2010.
  13. ^ Place, Rich (August 14, 2009) "Not Your ‘Average Joe’", The Post-Journal. Retrieved February 23, 2010
  14. ^ "'Countdown with Keith Olbermann' for Thursday, September 3, 2009". MSNBC. 2009-09-03. Archived from the original on 2009-12-17. Retrieved 2009-12-17. No—no, no. Because if he's compromise and everything so far, and as self-defeating as it might be, the progressive caucus and progressives would abandon him, if necessary, if this would be the policy of this administration into 2012. If it's necessary to find somebody else to run against him, I think they'd do it no matter how destructive that might seem at face value.
  15. ^ Fisher, Max (2009-12-02). "Could Obama Face 2012 Primary Challenge Over Afghanistan?". The Atlantic. Retrieved 2009-12-17.
  16. ^ "'Countdown with Keith Olbermann' for Wednesday, December 16th, 2009". MSNBC. 2009-12-16. Archived from the original on 2009-12-17. Retrieved 2009-12-17. Nothing short of your re-election and the re-election of dozens of Democrats in the House and the Senate hinges in large part on this bill. Make it palatable or make it go away or make yourself ready, not merely for a horrifying campaign in 2012, but for the distinct possibility also of a primary challenge.
  17. ^ Allen, Mike (February 24, 2010) "Exclusive: White House privately plots 2012 campaign run", Politico. Retrieved March 10, 2010.
  18. ^ Diemer, Tom (February 24, 2010) "Obama Re-Election Effort Already Taking Shape", Politics Daily. Retrieved March 10, 2010.
  19. ^ Akers, Mary Ann (June 9, 2009). "Haley Barbour Enters the 2012 Thicket". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 11, 2009. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  20. ^ Sammon, Bill (January 4, 2009). "Bush 41: Jeb Bush for President". Fox News Channel. Retrieved June 27, 2009.
  21. ^ Newton-Small, Jay (February 23, 2009). "Eric Cantor: Giving the GOP Back Its Mojo". Time. Retrieved June 12, 2009. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  22. ^ Cillizza, Chris (November 25, 2009) "The Fix", The Washington Post. Retrieved November 25, 2009.
  23. ^ Romano, Andrew (November 26, 2009). "The Governor of Puerto Rico ... for President?". Newsweek. Retrieved November 26, 2009.
  24. ^ Nolan, Jim (March 5, 2009). "Gingrich, in Ashland, ponders White House run; says Cantor will be Speaker someday". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved June 10, 2009. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  25. ^ Baier, Bret (July 2, 2009). "'Special Report' Panel on Potential GOP Contenders for 2012 Presidential Race". FOXNews.com. Retrieved July 8, 2009.
  26. ^ Memoli, Mike (June 10, 2009). "In Iowa, Huckabee Calls For "Clarity Of Conservative Principles"". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved June 25, 2009.
  27. ^ Lee, Carol (May 1, 2010). "Huntsman keeps his options open". POLITICO. Retrieved May 1, 2010.
  28. ^ Emery, Marc (November 16, 2008) "Gary Johnson for President in 2012", Western Standard.ca. Retrieved on August 5, 2009.
  29. ^ Barr, Andy (January 23, 2009). "McCain floats Kyl for president". POLITICO. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  30. ^ Volpe, Paul (July 3, 2009). "Palin To Resign, Focus on Presidential Run". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 3, 2009. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  31. ^ Kornacki, Steve (December 4, 2009) "Pataki Again?", New York Observer. Retrieved December 9, 2009.
  32. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (March 2, 2009). "No third run by Ron Paul for the White House?". CNN. Retrieved June 10, 2009.
  33. ^ Bedard, Paul (June 12, 2009). "Minnesota's Pawlenty May Challenge Obama for President in 2012". U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved June 18, 2009. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  34. ^ Martin, Jonathan (May 7, 2008). "Another entrant for 2012/2016?". The Politico. Retrieved June 14, 2009. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  35. ^ "Is Romney the man to save GOP in 2012?". CNN. November 13, 2008. Retrieved June 15, 2009.
  36. ^ "Rubio's path". April 7, 2010. Retrieved April 7, 2010. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |Publisher= ignored (|publisher= suggested) (help)
  37. ^ Martin, Jonathan (August 11, 2009)"Rick Santorum dips toes in 2012 Iowa waters", Politico.com. Retrieved on August 11, 2009.
  38. ^ Lewis, Matt (December 11, 2009) "John Thune: The GOP's Answer to Obama?", Politics Daily. Retrieved December 11, 2009.
  39. ^ "Chris Christie for President?". April 26, 2010. Retrieved May 13,2010. {{cite web}}: Check date values in: |accessdate= (help); Unknown parameter |Publisher= ignored (|publisher= suggested) (help)
  40. ^ Crimaldi, Laura (April 23, 2010) "Scott Brown rules out 2012 presidential run", Boston Herald. Retrieved April 23, 2010.
  41. ^ Riechmann, Deb (May 23, 2009). "Don't call ex-Vice President Cheney a has-been". Yahoo! News. Retrieved June 12, 2009.
  42. ^ Taranto, James (August 31, 2009). "Cheney for President". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved September 1, 2009.
  43. ^ Lewis, Bob (December 10, 2008). "La. Gov. Jindal: 2012 presidential bid unlikely". Fox News Channel. Retrieved June 10, 2009.
  44. ^ "For GOP, no frontrunner and no worries". POLITICO. April 11, 2010. Retrieved April 11, 2010.,
  45. ^ (November 17, 2010) "GOP Dark Horses for 2012: Texas Governor Rick Perry", RealClearPolitics. Retrieved February 3, 2010.
  46. ^ Perry Says No Bid for President
  47. ^ Ackerman, Spencer. "Petraeus '12". American Prospect. Retrieved January 27, 2009. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  48. ^ "Like Ike: Petraeus for President?". Mother Jones. Retrieved January 27, 2009. {{cite web}}: Italic or bold markup not allowed in: |publisher= (help)
  49. ^ Petraeus Says He'll Never Run for Office
  50. ^ O'Brien, Michael (February 21, 2010). "Rep. Paul Ryan rules out presidential bid in 2012; leaves door open to VP nod". The Hill. Retrieved April 20, 2010.
  51. ^ Meyer, Jim (June 1, 2009)"Wayne Root Launches Libertarian Radio Show", NewsMax.com. Retrieved on August 5, 2009.
  52. ^ Benjamin, Elizabeth (January 26, 2010) "Bloomberg On The Meaning Of Wolfson", New York Daily News. Retrieved January 28, 2010.
  53. ^ Kugler, Sara (January 26, 2010) "NYC mayor has 'no plans' for 2012 White House run", The Post-Star. Retrieved January 28, 2010.
  54. ^ Memmot, Mark (November 24, 2009) "Lou Dobbs Hints At White House Run In 2012 As An Independent", NPR.org. Retrieved on November 24, 2009.
  55. ^ Schwab, Nikki (May 2, 2009) "Nader: Obama Ignores Me and Other Progressives", U.S News & World Report online. Retrieved on August 6, 2009.
  56. ^ Dann, Carrie (June 18, 2009). "Jesse Ventura 2012?". MSNBC. Retrieved December 28, 2008.
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2012_United_States_presidential_election&oldid=362606595"